Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 14:15 UTC San Mames Barria 46,880 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 72' Umar Sadiq

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Valencia CFLa Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Miguel Ortiz Arias (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Garrido Romero (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Guillermo Santiago Sacristan (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Valencia CF H 0–1 L
02 May Deportivo Alaves A 4–2 W
25 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid A 2–3 L
21 Apr CA Osasuna H 1–0 W
12 Apr Villarreal CF H 1–2 L
05 Apr Getafe CF A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Athletic Club A 1–0 W
02 May Club Atletico de Madrid H 0–2 L
25 Apr Girona FC H 2–1 W
21 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
11 Apr Elche CF A 0–1 L
05 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Valencia CF
#12 Position #9
45 Points 49
38 Played 38
13 / 6 / 19 W / D / L 13 / 10 / 15
43 Scored 46
58 Conceded 55
-15 GD -9
1.18 PPG 1.29
34% Win % 34%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
19% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Athletic Club is hosting Valencia CF for another epic battle.
  • 5' Andoni Gorosabel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valencia CF that had 422 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 15' It’s gonna be a card for Aymeric Laporte.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Athletic Club needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Nico Williams has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 46 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Athletic Club is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gorka Guruzeta made 328 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 50' Eray Comert was booked on 50.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alejandro Rego on 55.
  • 59' Valencia CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luis Rioja, as he is very good at scoring at San Mames Barria with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' Umar Sadiq puts Valencia CF on the lead.
  • 77' Athletic Club is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 82' It looks surprising Athletic Club does not make any changes. Oihan Sancet has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 87' Valencia CF looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Umar Sadiq scoring 1 goals.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Valencia CF player. Umar Sadiq gets a card.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.95 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Valencia CF or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club32% Draw32% Valencia CF36%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
64%
Draw or Valencia CF
68%
Athletic Club or Valencia CF
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club21% Draw54% Valencia CF25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.3%
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 19% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
34%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.