Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sun 31 Mar 2024 · 19:00 UTC Santiago Bernabeu 72,991 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrygo 8' 1–0
Rodrygo 73' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic ClubLa Liga at Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Assistant 1 Alfredo Rodriguez Moreno (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Athletic Club H 2–0 W
16 Mar CA Osasuna A 4–2 W
10 Mar RC Celta de Vigo H 4–0 W
06 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
02 Mar Valencia CF A 2–2 D
25 Feb Sevilla FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
16 Mar Deportivo Alaves H 2–0 W
10 Mar UD Las Palmas A 2–0 W
03 Mar FC Barcelona H 0–0 D
25 Feb Real Betis Balompie A 1–3 L
19 Feb Girona FC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Athletic Club
#2 Position #12
86 Points 45
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 19
77 Scored 43
35 Conceded 58
+42 GD -15
2.26 PPG 1.18
71% Win % 34%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Santiago Bernabeu that hosts another battle between Real Madrid CF and Athletic Club.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 8' Rodrygo makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 13' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
  • 18' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against Athletic Club's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Inaki Williams suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Athletic Club ring the changes. Yeray Alvarez has done his job and it is now time for Daniel Vivian to step up.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past Athletic Club's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' Athletic Club is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
  • 57' Ruiz de Galarreta is replacing Benat Prados for the Athletic Club side.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Malcom Ares. He replaces Gorka Guruzeta on 58 minute.
  • 63' Athletic Club are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 68' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 71' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Nacho will be fuming at that decision.
  • 72' The whistle greets Brahim Diaz as he departs to be replaced by Joselu.
  • 73' GOAL! Rodrygo fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 76' The whistle greets Oihan Sancet as he departs to be replaced by Muniain.
  • 81' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Federico Valverde by Lucas Vazquez on 81 minute.
  • 86' Benat Prados has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 328 appearances.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ruiz de Galarreta.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Eder Militao. He replaces Dani Carvajal on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.28 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF71% Draw19% Athletic Club10%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
90%
Draw or Athletic Club
29%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF52% Draw40% Athletic Club8%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.2%
3 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
2.8%
5 – 0
2.7%
2 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 22% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 23% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
54%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.