Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 72,535 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 90+3' 1–0
Y 63' Unai Nunez
Raul 75' Y
Y 86' Benat Prados

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic ClubLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Athletic Club H 1–0 W
16 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Deportivo Alaves A 1–0 W
08 Apr Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–0 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Athletic Club
#2 Position #12
86 Points 45
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 19
77 Scored 43
35 Conceded 58
+42 GD -15
2.26 PPG 1.18
71% Win % 34%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Athletic Club that had 328 games and scored 386 goals.
  • 15' Raul, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' named a 4-3-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Athletic Club's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-3-1-2 trying to find a way past Athletic Club's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Benat Prados has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Dani Ceballos departs to be replaced by Endrick.
  • 62' A change in the Athletic Club ranks — Alex Berenguer exits the field as Oihan Sancet enters on 62.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Unai Nunez.
  • 68' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Alvaro Djalo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Unai Gomez makes way for Inigo Lekue at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Athletic Club.
  • 75' A moment of madness from Raul on 75 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Arda Guler comes on to replace Luka Modric.
  • 83' Federico Valverde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Athletic Club so far.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Raul is replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 84 minute.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Benat Prados. He receives a card.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Athletic Club. Adama Boiro is replaced by Daniel Vivian.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw24% Athletic Club15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Athletic Club
39%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF45% Draw45% Athletic Club10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 25% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
50%
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.