Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 72,535 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 90+3' 1–0
Y 63' Unai Nunez
Raul 75' Y
Y 86' Benat Prados

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Athletic Club H 1–0 W
16 Apr Arsenal FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Deportivo Alavés A 1–0 W
08 Apr Arsenal FC A 0–3 L
05 Apr Valencia CF H 1–2 L
29 Mar CD Leganes H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
17 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–1 W
10 Apr Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Villarreal CF A 0–0 D
30 Mar CA Osasuna H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Athletic Club
#4 Position #12
15 Points 8
7 Played 6
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 2
18 Scored 7
8 Conceded 6
+10 GD +1
2.14 PPG 1.33
71% Win % 33%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 548 games and scored 784 goals.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gorka Guruzeta made 331 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Rodrygo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Athletic Club are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' Real Madrid CF make a change. Dani Ceballos trudges off to be replaced by Endrick on 58 minutes.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Alex Berenguer as he leaves the pitch. Oihan Sancet steps in for Athletic Club.
  • 63' Unai Nunez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' It looks surprising Athletic Club does not make any changes. Alvaro Djalo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' A change in the Athletic Club ranks — Unai Gomez exits the field as Inigo Lekue enters on 72.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Raul argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Luka Modric is replaced by Arda Guler on 78 minute.
  • 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 84' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 84 minute. Raul leaves to be changed by Lucas Vazquez.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Benat Prados.
  • 87' Another change for Athletic Club made on 87 minute. Adama Boiro leaves to be changed by Daniel Vivian.
  • 1-0 the final result. Athletic Club will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Athletic Club xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF54% Draw27% Athletic Club19%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
81%
Draw or Athletic Club
46%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw50% Athletic Club13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Athletic Club covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.