Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 2.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Athletic Club | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Deportivo Alaves | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Arsenal FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Valencia CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | CD Leganes | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Apr | Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Rangers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Villarreal CF | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | CA Osasuna | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #12 |
| 86 | Points | 45 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 19 |
| 77 | Scored | 43 |
| 35 | Conceded | 58 |
| +42 | GD | -15 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 71% | Win % | 34% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Athletic Club that had 328 games and scored 386 goals.
- 15' Raul, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' named a 4-3-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Athletic Club's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-3-1-2 trying to find a way past Athletic Club's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 45' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' Benat Prados has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Dani Ceballos departs to be replaced by Endrick.
- 62' A change in the Athletic Club ranks — Alex Berenguer exits the field as Oihan Sancet enters on 62.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Unai Nunez.
- 68' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Alvaro Djalo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' Unai Gomez makes way for Inigo Lekue at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Athletic Club.
- 75' A moment of madness from Raul on 75 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
- 78' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Arda Guler comes on to replace Luka Modric.
- 83' Federico Valverde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Athletic Club so far.
- 84' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Raul is replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 84 minute.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Benat Prados. He receives a card.
- 87' Time for substitution for Athletic Club. Adama Boiro is replaced by Daniel Vivian.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 22
- 14
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Arda Guler 78'
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Endrick 58'
- 8
- 7
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Brahim Diaz 78'
- 6
- 5
-
35
Raul ↓ Lucas Vazquez 84'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 78'
- 4
- 13
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 84'
- 18
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 78'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 58'
- 20
- 26
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Athletic Club Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 2
- 1
- 14
-
12
Gorka Guruzeta ↓ Sannadi 62'
-
7
Alex Berenguer ↓ Oihan Sancet 62'
- 4
-
11
Alvaro Djalo ↓ Inaki Williams 62'
-
20
Unai Gomez ↓ Inigo Lekue 72'
- 24
-
32
Adama Boiro ↓ Daniel Vivian 87'
Bench
- 16
- 17
- 5
-
15
Inigo Lekue ↑ 72'
- 18
-
3
Daniel Vivian ↑ 87'
-
9
Inaki Williams ↑ 62'
-
8
Oihan Sancet ↑ 62'
- 13
- 23
-
21
Sannadi ↑ 62'
- 28
Coach
Ernesto Valverde
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 10 |
| Rodrygo | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 |
| Toni Kroos | 2 |
| Nacho | 2 |
| Oihan Sancet | 2 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7
Athletic Club xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Athletic Club
39%
Real Madrid CF or Athletic Club
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Athletic Club covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

