Sunday , 16 August 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC San Mames Barria 51,364 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alex Berenguer 53' 1–0
1–1 79' Jude Bellingham
Gorka Guruzeta 80' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
01 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–1 W
28 Nov IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
24 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–0 W
10 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
07 Nov PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
01 Dec Getafe CF H 2–0 W
27 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W
09 Nov CA Osasuna H 4–0 W
05 Nov AC Milan H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#18 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 18th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.68 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club38% Draw38% Real Madrid CF24%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
76%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club18% Draw67% Real Madrid CF15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31%
1 – 0
17.5%
0 – 1
14.7%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
1.3%
3 – 0
1.3%
3 – 1
1%
0 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 18% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
56%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.