Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC San Mames Barria 51,364 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alex Berenguer 53' 1–0
1–1 79' Jude Bellingham
Gorka Guruzeta 80' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at San Mames Barria.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 14.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Real Madrid CF H 2–1 W
01 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–1 W
28 Nov IF Elfsborg H 3–0 W
24 Nov Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–0 W
10 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
07 Nov PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Athletic Club A 1–2 L
01 Dec Getafe CF H 2–0 W
27 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
24 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W
09 Nov CA Osasuna H 4–0 W
05 Nov AC Milan H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#12 Position #4
8 Points 15
6 Played 7
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
7 Scored 18
6 Conceded 8
+1 GD +10
1.33 PPG 2.14
33% Win % 71%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Athletic Club are 12th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Athletic Club and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Athletic Club must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Athletic Club are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Athletic Club that had 331 games and scored 389 goals.
  • 25' Thibaut Courtois, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniel Vivian suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Athletic Club are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' Alex Berenguer puts Athletic Club on the lead.
  • 58' Dani Ceballos makes way for Brahim Diaz at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 63' Another change for Athletic Club made on 63 minute. Alex Berenguer leaves to be changed by Gorka Guruzeta.
  • 67' That is a card for Athletic Club. Julen Agirrezabala will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Aurelien Tchouameni is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 71' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Modric is hanging Aurelien Tchouameni on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' A moment of madness from Lucas Vazquez on 72 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Ruiz de Galarreta. He receives a card.
  • 79' Jude Bellingham doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 80' Gorka Guruzeta puts Athletic Club on the lead.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Athletic Club! De Marcos comes on to replace Andoni Gorosabel.
  • 84' The Athletic Club manager makes a substitution. Adama Boiro departs to be replaced by Yuri Berchiche.
  • 88' The whistle greets Rodrygo as he departs to be replaced by Endrick.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Jude Bellingham. He receives a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club38% Draw27% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
65%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
62%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club23% Draw48% Real Madrid CF29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.