Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Athletic Club

2 – 1

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC San Mames Barria 51,364 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alex Berenguer 53' 1–0

1–1 79' Jude Bellingham

Gorka Guruzeta 80' 2–1

Julen Agirrezabala 67' Y

Y 70' Aurelien Tchouameni

Y 72' Lucas Vazquez

Ruiz de Galarreta 74' Y

Y 90' Jude Bellingham

Gorka Guruzeta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at San Mames Barria.

Athletic Club 38 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)

9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	38	94
2	Real Madrid CF	38	86
3	Villarreal CF	38	72
4	Club Atletico de Madrid	38	69
5	Real Betis Balompie	38	60
6	RC Celta de Vigo	38	54
7	Getafe CF	38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	38	50
9	Valencia CF	38	49
10	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	38	46
11	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	38	46
12	Athletic Club	38	45
13	Elche CF	38	43
14	Deportivo Alaves	38	43
15	Sevilla FC	38	43
16	CA Osasuna	38	42
17	RCD Mallorca	38	42
18	Levante UD	38	42
19	Girona FC	38	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	29

Head-to-Head

Athletic Club 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-31 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Athletic Club 2023-08-12 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-06-04 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Athletic Club 2023-01-22 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Athletic Club

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Dec	Real Madrid CF	H	2–1	W
01 Dec	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	A	2–1	W
28 Nov	IF Elfsborg	H	3–0	W
24 Nov	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	H	1–0	W
10 Nov	Real Valladolid CF	A	1–1	D
07 Nov	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	A	2–1	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Dec	Athletic Club	A	1–2	L
01 Dec	Getafe CF	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	0–2	L
24 Nov	CD Leganes	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	CA Osasuna	H	4–0	W
05 Nov	AC Milan	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Athletic Club		Real Madrid CF
#12	Position	#2
45	Points	86
38	Played	38
13 / 6 / 19	W / D / L	27 / 5 / 6
43	Scored	77
58	Conceded	35
-15	GD	+42
1.18	PPG	2.26
34%	Win %	71%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at San Mames Barria. Athletic Club are looking to make home advantage count against Real Madrid CF.
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
10' Athletic Club currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' Athletic Club is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jude Bellingham suffering a number of foals already.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' Athletic Club started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
35' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
40' Spain international Raul has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
45' Yeray Alvarez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Athletic Club so far.
50' Athletic Club are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
53' Alex Berenguer makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Athletic Club are in front.
58' Brahim Diaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dani Ceballos at the 58 minute mark.
63' The whistle greets Alex Berenguer as he departs to be replaced by Gorka Guruzeta.
67' The referee calls foul for Julen Agirrezabala. He receives a card.
70' A moment of madness from Aurelien Tchouameni on 70 minutes earns him a card. Real Madrid CF will be frustrated.
71' Real Madrid CF make a change. Aurelien Tchouameni trudges off to be replaced by Luka Modric on 71 minutes.
72' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Vazquez.
74' Ruiz de Galarreta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
79' Jude Bellingham makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
80' A stunning finish from Gorka Guruzeta — that came from absolutely nowhere!
80' Another substitution for Athletic Club to replace Andoni Gorosabel by De Marcos on 80 minute.
84' Another change for Athletic Club made on 84 minute. Adama Boiro leaves to be changed by Yuri Berchiche.
88' Endrick gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Rodrygo and will look to change the dynamic.
90' Jude Bellingham catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
Athletic Club celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ernesto Valverde

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

22
Antonio Rudiger
9
Kylian Mbappe
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↓ Luka Modric 71'
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Arda Guler 88'
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Brahim Diaz 58'
8
Federico Valverde
1
Thibaut Courtois
11
Rodrygo ↓ Endrick 88'
5
Jude Bellingham
20
Fran Garcia ↓ Ferland Mendy 71'
35
Raul

Bench

21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 58'
23
Ferland Mendy ↑ 71'
13
Andriy Lunin
10
Luka Modric ↑ 71'
18
Jesus Vallejo
15
Arda Guler ↑ 88'
16
Endrick ↑ 88'
34
Sergio Mestre
30
Gonzalo Garcia
39
Loren Aguado

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	10
Rodrygo	3
Jude Bellingham	3
Nacho	2
Oihan Sancet	2
Gorka Guruzeta	2
Toni Kroos	2
Urko Izeta	1

Head to Head

Athletic Club Form

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–2 Athletic Club W 2024-11-28 Athletic Club 3–0 IF Elfsborg W 2024-11-24 Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol W 2024-11-10 Real Valladolid CF 1–1 Athletic Club D 2024-11-07 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 1–2 Athletic Club W

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-01 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Getafe CF W 2024-11-27 Liverpool FC 2–0 Real Madrid CF L 2024-11-24 CD Leganes 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-11-09 Real Madrid CF 4–0 CA Osasuna W 2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.13 Athletic Club xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.69 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF 74% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Athletic Club33% Draw26% Real Madrid CF41%

Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw

59%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

67%

Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Athletic Club20% Draw45% Real Madrid CF35%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

0 – 1

9.3%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

8.4%

0 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 3

5.2%

0 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap	Athletic Club covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.