Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2024-25

Athletic Club

2 – 1

Full Time

Real Madrid CF

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC San Mames Barria 51,364 HT 45' · FT 45'

Alex Berenguer 53' 1–0

1–1 79' Jude Bellingham

Gorka Guruzeta 80' 2–1

Julen Agirrezabala 67' Y

Y 70' Aurelien Tchouameni

Y 72' Lucas Vazquez

Ruiz de Galarreta 74' Y

Y 90' Jude Bellingham

Gorka Guruzeta 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at San Mames Barria.

Athletic Club 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
Assistant 2 Juan Lopez Mir (Spain)

5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	12	33
2	Real Madrid CF	12	30
3	Club Atlético de Madrid	12	28
4	Real Betis Balompié	12	26
5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	12	22
6	Sevilla FC	12	18
7	Athletic Club	11	16
8	RC Deportivo La Coruña	12	15
9	Villarreal CF	12	15
10	Real Racing Club de Santander	12	14
11	RC Celta de Vigo	12	13
12	Deportivo Alavés	12	13
13	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	11	12
14	CA Osasuna	12	12
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	12	12
16	Getafe CF	12	12
17	Levante UD	12	11
18	Elche CF	12	10
19	Valencia CF	12	9
20	Málaga CF	12	5

Head-to-Head

Athletic Club 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Real Madrid CF

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF 2024-03-31 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Athletic Club 2023-08-12 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid CF 2023-06-04 Real Madrid CF 1–1 Athletic Club 2023-01-22 Athletic Club 0–2 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

Athletic Club

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Dec	Real Madrid CF	H	2–1	W
01 Dec	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	A	2–1	W
28 Nov	IF Elfsborg	H	3–0	W
24 Nov	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	H	1–0	W
10 Nov	Real Valladolid CF	A	1–1	D
07 Nov	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	A	2–1	W

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Dec	Athletic Club	A	1–2	L
01 Dec	Getafe CF	H	2–0	W
27 Nov	Liverpool FC	A	0–2	L
24 Nov	CD Leganes	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	CA Osasuna	H	4–0	W
05 Nov	AC Milan	H	1–3	L

Season Stats

Athletic Club		Real Madrid CF
#7	Position	#2
16	Points	30
11	Played	12
4 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 2
15	Scored	31
11	Conceded	10
+4	GD	+21
1.45	PPG	2.50
36%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

45% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season

33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Athletic Club are 7th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/3

61-75

3/–

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Real Madrid CF

0-15

3/–

16-30

6/1

31-45

7/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

4/2

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Athletic Club

Alex Berenguer	4 G	4 A
Inaki Williams	3 G	2 A
Nico Williams	2 G	1 A
Roberto Navarro	2 G
Aitor Paredes Casamichana	2 G

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	13 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	4 G	3 A
Arda Guler	3 G	4 A
Yan Diomande	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Athletic Club and Real Madrid CF get this one started.
5' Athletic Club is showing some good football. However, Athletic Club are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
20' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Athletic Club must find a spark to ignite this game.
30' The 30-year-old Andoni Gorosabel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
35' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' Adama Boiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
45' Athletic Club are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
53' Brilliant from the ! Alex Berenguer makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 53.
58' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Dani Ceballos is replaced by Brahim Diaz.
63' Another substitution for Athletic Club to replace Alex Berenguer by Gorka Guruzeta on 63 minute.
67' It’s gonna be a card for Julen Agirrezabala.
70' Aurelien Tchouameni was booked on 70.
71' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Luka Modric on, Aurelien Tchouameni off on 71 minutes.
72' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
74' Ruiz de Galarreta was booked on 74.
79' GOAL! Jude Bellingham fires home to make it 1-1!
80' What a moment for Gorka Guruzeta! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
80' De Marcos gets the nod from Athletic Club. He replaces Andoni Gorosabel and will look to change the dynamic.
84' Athletic Club manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuri Berchiche is hanging Adama Boiro on the field on 84 minute.
88' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Rodrygo departs to be replaced by Endrick.
90' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Athletic Club players.

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ernesto Valverde

Real Madrid CF Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

22
Antonio Rudiger
9
Kylian Mbappe
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↓ Luka Modric 71'
17
Lucas Vazquez ↓ Arda Guler 88'
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Brahim Diaz 58'
8
Federico Valverde
1
Thibaut Courtois
11
Rodrygo ↓ Endrick 88'
5
Jude Bellingham
20
Fran Garcia ↓ Ferland Mendy 71'
35
Raul

Bench

21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 58'
23
Ferland Mendy ↑ 71'
13
Andriy Lunin
10
Luka Modric ↑ 71'
18
Jesus Vallejo
15
Arda Guler ↑ 88'
16
Endrick ↑ 88'
34
Sergio Mestre
30
Gonzalo Garcia
39
Loren Aguado

Coach Carlo Ancelotti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	10
Rodrygo	3
Jude Bellingham	3
Toni Kroos	2
Nacho	2
Oihan Sancet	2
Gorka Guruzeta	2
Alex Berenguer	1

Head to Head

Athletic Club Form

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF W 2024-12-01 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–2 Athletic Club W 2024-11-28 Athletic Club 3–0 IF Elfsborg W 2024-11-24 Athletic Club 1–0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol W 2024-11-10 Real Valladolid CF 1–1 Athletic Club D 2024-11-07 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 1–2 Athletic Club W

Real Madrid CF Form

2024-12-04 Athletic Club 2–1 Real Madrid CF L 2024-12-01 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Getafe CF W 2024-11-27 Liverpool FC 2–0 Real Madrid CF L 2024-11-24 CD Leganes 0–3 Real Madrid CF W 2024-11-09 Real Madrid CF 4–0 CA Osasuna W 2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.13 Athletic Club xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Real Madrid CF xG

I would bet for: Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Athletic Club36% Draw27% Real Madrid CF37%

Actual: Athletic Club win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw

63%

Draw or Real Madrid CF

64%

Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Athletic Club22% Draw48% Real Madrid CF30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 1

9.9%

0 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 2

7.7%

1 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 3

4.2%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap	Athletic Club covers	Push	Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.