Sunday , 16 August 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Real Madrid CF H 0–3 L
29 Nov Levante UD A 2–0 W
25 Nov SK Slavia Praha A 0–0 D
22 Nov FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
09 Nov Real Oviedo H 1–0 W
05 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Athletic Club A 3–0 W
30 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP A 4–3 W
23 Nov Elche CF A 2–2 D
09 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–0 D
04 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#18 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 18th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.32 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club16% Draw36% Real Madrid CF48%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
53%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
84%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club6% Draw65% Real Madrid CF29%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30%
0 – 1
25.4%
0 – 2
12.2%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
1.6%
2 – 1
1.3%
2 – 0
1.1%
0 – 4
1%
2 – 2
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 9% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 30% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
38%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
73%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.