Saturday , 14 November 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 18.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Real Madrid CF H 0–3 L
29 Nov Levante UD A 2–0 W
25 Nov SK Slavia Praha A 0–0 D
22 Nov FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
09 Nov Real Oviedo H 1–0 W
05 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Athletic Club A 3–0 W
30 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP A 4–3 W
23 Nov Elche CF A 2–2 D
09 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–0 D
04 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#7 Position #2
16 Points 30
11 Played 12
4 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 2
15 Scored 31
11 Conceded 10
+4 GD +21
1.45 PPG 2.50
36% Win % 83%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Athletic Club this season
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Athletic Club are 7th (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Athletic Club
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/–
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.77 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club19% Draw26% Real Madrid CF55%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
45%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Athletic Club12% Draw45% Real Madrid CF43%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.8%
0 – 2
12.1%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 10% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 25% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 19% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.