Thursday , 2 July 2026

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Athletic Club vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Real Madrid CF H 0–3 L
29 Nov Levante UD A 2–0 W
25 Nov SK Slavia Praha A 0–0 D
22 Nov FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
09 Nov Real Oviedo H 1–0 W
05 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Athletic Club A 3–0 W
30 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP A 4–3 W
23 Nov Elche CF A 2–2 D
09 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–0 D
04 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Athletic Club Real Madrid CF
#12 Position #2
45 Points 86
38 Played 38
13 / 6 / 19 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
43 Scored 77
58 Conceded 35
-15 GD +42
1.18 PPG 2.26
34% Win % 71%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Athletic Club are 12th (45 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Athletic Club and Real Madrid CF (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Athletic Club Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.76 Athletic Club xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club18% Draw24% Real Madrid CF58%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Athletic Club or Draw
41%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
82%
Athletic Club or Real Madrid CF
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Athletic Club11% Draw42% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
12.4%
0 – 1
11.6%
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 4
4.3%
1 – 0
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
1 – 4
3.4%
2 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Athletic Club

Handicap Athletic Club covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% 88%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 24% 43%
+1.5 57% 43%
+2 57% 20% 22%
+2.5 78% 22%

Clean Sheet

Athletic Club keeps clean sheet
13%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
47%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.