Saturday , 17 October 2026

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
New York City FC
1 – 0
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sun 4 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Citi Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 13' Matt Miazga
Matt Freese 39' Y
Hannes Wolf 72' Y
Justin Haak 75' Y
Y 90' Evander

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Citi Field.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 66
2 Internacional CF Miami 29 52
3 New England Revolution 29 49
4 Chicago Fire FC 29 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 45
7 Orlando City SC 29 38
8 FC Cincinnati 28 36
9 New York Red Bulls 29 36
10 New York City FC 29 33
11 Toronto FC 29 33
12 D.C. United SC 28 33
13 Columbus Crew SC 29 32
14 Atlanta United FC 29 30
15 Montreal Impact FC 29 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 29 52
17 St. Louis City 29 51
18 FC Dallas 29 50
19 San Jose Earthquakes 29 47
20 Houston Dynamo 29 46
21 Los Angeles FC 30 45
22 Seattle Sounders FC 29 41
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 39
24 Colorado Rapids SC 29 38
25 San Diego FC 29 33
26 Portland Timbers 29 33
27 Real Salt Lake 29 33
28 Minnesota United FC 29 31
29 Austin FC 29 31
30 Sporting Kansas City 29 22

Head-to-Head

9
3
4
New York City FC 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC 2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Cincinnati H 1–0 W
26 Apr Toronto FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr New England Revolution A 0–2 L
12 Apr Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
06 Apr Minnesota United FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Atlanta United FC A 3–4 L
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May New York City FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 2–1 W
20 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr D.C. United SC A 1–0 W
05 Apr New England Revolution H 1–0 W
30 Mar Nashville SC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

New York City FC FC Cincinnati
#10 Position #8
33 Points 36
29 Played 28
8 / 9 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 9 / 10
42 Scored 60
40 Conceded 68
+2 GD -8
1.14 PPG 1.29
28% Win % 32%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 10th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
5/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/5
61-75
4/6
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 15 G 4 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 9 G 3 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
  • 5' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 9' What a moment for Julian Fernandez! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 13' Matt Miazga was booked on 13.
  • 18' It looks like no one’s ball. New York City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 23' Gerardo Valenzuela is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
  • 26' New York City FC make a change. Keaton Parks trudges off to be replaced by Birk Risa on 26 minutes.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Poor challenge from Matt Freese. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' The whistle greets Nick Hagglund as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
  • 51' Luca Orellano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 54' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nico Cavallo is hanging Andres Perea on the field on 54 minute.
  • 59' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
  • 64' Andres Perea has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 295 appearances.
  • 69' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Matt Miazga is replaced by Gilberto Flores on 69 minute.
  • 72' Hannes Wolf has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 72.
  • 75' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' The whistle greets Luca Orellano as he departs to be replaced by Corey Baird.
  • 85' Another change for New York City FC made on 85 minute. Alonso Martinez leaves to be changed by Monsef Bakrar.
  • 90' Evander picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Lukas Engel by Brad Smith on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for New York City FC.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Brenner da Silva 7
Heber 6
Luciano Acosta 4
Valentin Castellanos 4
Jesus Medina 3
Alexandru Mitrita 3
Gabriel Pereira 3
Alonso Martinez 2

Head to Head

2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC 2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati

New York City FC Form

2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-04-19 New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC L 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-04-06 New York City FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC L 2025-03-29 Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Sporting Kansas City W 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.77 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: New York City FC or FC Cincinnati 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC43% Draw26% FC Cincinnati31%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
57%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC32% Draw42% FC Cincinnati26%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.