New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Citi Field.
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | New England Revolution | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | New York City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #7 |
| 19 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 4 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 21 | Conceded | 37 |
| +4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati is underway.
- 5' Alonso Martinez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 9' GOAL! Julian Fernandez scores on 9.
- 13' The referee has no hesitation. Matt Miazga is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 13.
- 18' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 23' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' Another change for New York City FC made on 26 minute. Keaton Parks leaves to be changed by Birk Risa.
- 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Freese on 39.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Nick Hagglund trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Santos on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Roman Celentano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 54' The whistle greets Andres Perea as he departs to be replaced by Nico Cavallo.
- 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 64' New York City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' Gilberto Flores is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matt Miazga at the 69 minute mark.
- 72' Poor challenge from Hannes Wolf. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Justin Haak on 75.
- 80' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 80 minutes.
- 81' Corey Baird is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luca Orellano at the 81 minute mark.
- 85' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Alonso Martinez is withdrawn and Monsef Bakrar gets his opportunity.
- 90' Evander picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Brad Smith comes on to replace Lukas Engel.
- New York City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
- 10
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Birk Risa 26'
- 49
- 80
-
8
Andres Perea ↓ Nico Cavallo 54'
- 24
- 32
- 11
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 85'
Bench
- 19
- 18
-
5
Birk Risa ↑ 26'
- 30
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 85'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 85'
- 38
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 54'
Coach
Pascal Jansen
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Gilberto Flores 69'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 46'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Sergio Santos 46'
- 12
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Corey Baird 81'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 90'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 81'
- 13
- 2
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 90'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 46'
- 16
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 46'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 69'
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2025-05-04
New York City FC
1–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2025-04-26
Toronto FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
2025-04-19
New England Revolution
2–0
New York City FC
L
2025-04-12
New York City FC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-04-06
New York City FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-03-29
Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.96
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
56%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 19% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.