Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr New York City FC H 0–1 L
20 Apr Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
12 Apr Minnesota United FC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 1–1 D
29 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 0–0 D
22 Mar New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Toronto FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr New England Revolution A 0–2 L
12 Apr Philadelphia Union H 1–0 W
06 Apr Minnesota United FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Atlanta United FC A 3–4 L
22 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC New York City FC
#12 Position #5
17 Points 26
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
24 Scored 31
32 Conceded 24
-8 GD +7
0.94 PPG 1.44
17% Win % 39%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at BMO Field as Toronto FC face off against New York City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Maxi Moralez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Matt Freese has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Maxime Dominguez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' Deybi Flores picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 22' Poor challenge from Kevin O'Toole. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Long.
  • 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' Sean Johnson, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 65' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Agustin Ojeda is replaced by Julian Fernandez on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Kevin O'Toole by Nico Cavallo on 66 minute.
  • 67' Lorenzo Insigne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxime Dominguez on 67 minute.
  • 70' Toronto FC ring the changes. Federico Bernardeschi has done his job and it is now time for Tyrese Spicer to step up.
  • 71' Julian Fernandez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Andres Perea. He replaces Maxi Moralez on 78 minute.
  • 79' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Shore is withdrawn and Birk Risa gets his opportunity.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Charles Sharp departs to be replaced by Matthew Longstaff.
  • 90' Tayvon Gray has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' New York City FC make a change. Alonso Martinez trudges off to be replaced by Monsef Bakrar on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.01 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: New York City FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC27% Draw29% New York City FC44%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
56%
Draw or New York City FC
73%
Toronto FC or New York City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC19% Draw48% New York City FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 23% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
23%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.