Toronto FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

0 – 1

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Deybi Flores 21' Y

Y 22' Kevin O'Toole

Kevin Long 31' Y

Y 71' Julian Fernandez

Y 90' Tayvon Gray

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs New York City FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 21 games · Avg 3.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC 2024-03-16 New York City FC 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-09-24 New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-04-29 Toronto FC 1–0 New York City FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Apr	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
20 Apr	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W
12 Apr	Minnesota United FC	H	0–0	D
06 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–1	D
29 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	0–0	D
22 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	1–2	L

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Apr	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	New England Revolution	A	0–2	L
12 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
06 Apr	Minnesota United FC	H	1–2	L
29 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	3–4	L
22 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Toronto FC		New York City FC
#12	Position	#10
39	Points	42
34	Played	34
9 / 12 / 13	W / D / L	10 / 12 / 12
52	Scored	49
67	Conceded	45
-15	GD	+4
1.15	PPG	1.24
26%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at BMO Field as Toronto FC face off against New York City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact .
10' Toronto FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
15' With 2 assists to his name this season, Maxi Moralez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
20' Kevin O'Toole has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
21' It’s gonna be a card for Deybi Flores.
22' Kevin O'Toole has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 22.
27' Sigurd Rosted has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
31' Kevin Long is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
36' Agustin Ojeda, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
41' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York City FC so far.
46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
56' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
64' GOAL! Alonso Martinez scores on 64.
65' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Julian Fernandez comes on to replace Agustin Ojeda.
66' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Nico Cavallo on, Kevin O'Toole off on 66 minutes.
67' Toronto FC ring the changes. Maxime Dominguez has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Insigne to step up.
70' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Federico Bernardeschi is replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
71' Julian Fernandez was booked on 71.
76' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
78' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Andres Perea on, Maxi Moralez off on 78 minutes.
79' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Jonathan Shore by Birk Risa on 79 minute.
84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
88' Matthew Longstaff gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Charles Sharp and will look to change the dynamic.
90' That is a card for New York City FC. Tayvon Gray will be fuming at that decision.
90' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Alonso Martinez by Monsef Bakrar on 90 minute.
The points are shared — Toronto FC 0-1 New York City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Kevin Long
10
Federico Bernardeschi ↓ Tyrese Spicer 70'
21
Jonathan Osorio
28
Raoul Petretta
1
Sean Johnson
17
Sigurd Rosted
7
Theo Corbeanu
6
Kosi Thompson
23
Maxime Dominguez ↓ Lorenzo Insigne 67'
20
Deybi Flores ↓ Alonso Coello Camarero 66'
38
Charles Sharp ↓ Matthew Longstaff 88'

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Strahinja Tanasijevic
18
Greg Ranjitsingh
8
Andres Perea ↑ 78'
5
Birk Risa ↑ 79'
30
Tomas Romero
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 65'
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 90'
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 66'

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pozuelo	8
Santiago Rodriguez	4
Jesus Jimenez	4
Ismael Tajouri	3
Valentin Castellanos	3
Jesus Medina	3
Kevin O'Toole	2
Andres Perea	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-04-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 Toronto FC W 2025-04-12 Toronto FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D 2025-04-06 Internacional CF Miami 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-03-29 Toronto FC 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC D 2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC L

New York City FC Form

2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W 2025-04-19 New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FC L 2025-04-12 New York City FC 1–0 Philadelphia Union W 2025-04-06 New York City FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC L 2025-03-29 Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC L 2025-03-22 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 New York City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.1 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Toronto FC or New York City FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC29% Draw29% New York City FC42%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.52

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

59%

Draw or New York City FC

71%

Toronto FC or New York City FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC21% Draw49% New York City FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 2

7.9%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

4.8%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	22%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.