Toronto FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs New York City FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | New England Revolution | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 17 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 24 | Scored | 31 |
| 32 | Conceded | 24 |
| -8 | GD | +7 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at BMO Field as Toronto FC face off against New York City FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Maxi Moralez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Matt Freese has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' Maxime Dominguez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 21' Deybi Flores picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' Poor challenge from Kevin O'Toole. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 27' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Long.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 51' Sean Johnson, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 65' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Agustin Ojeda is replaced by Julian Fernandez on 65 minute.
- 66' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Kevin O'Toole by Nico Cavallo on 66 minute.
- 67' Lorenzo Insigne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxime Dominguez on 67 minute.
- 70' Toronto FC ring the changes. Federico Bernardeschi has done his job and it is now time for Tyrese Spicer to step up.
- 71' Julian Fernandez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 76' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Andres Perea. He replaces Maxi Moralez on 78 minute.
- 79' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Shore is withdrawn and Birk Risa gets his opportunity.
- 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 88' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Charles Sharp departs to be replaced by Matthew Longstaff.
- 90' Tayvon Gray has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' New York City FC make a change. Alonso Martinez trudges off to be replaced by Monsef Bakrar on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 21
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 7
- 6
- 23
- 20
- 38
Bench
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↑ 67'
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↑ 88'
- 90
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 66'
- 71
- 76
- 15
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 70'
Coach
Robin Fraser
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Andres Perea 78'
- 55
- 49
- 80
- 24
-
22
Kevin O'Toole ↓ Nico Cavallo 66'
- 26
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↓ Birk Risa 79'
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 90'
Bench
- 19
- 18
-
8
Andres Perea ↑ 78'
-
5
Birk Risa ↑ 79'
- 30
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 65'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 90'
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 66'
Coach
Pascal Jansen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pozuelo | 8 |
| Santiago Rodriguez | 4 |
| Jesus Jimenez | 4 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Jo Inge Berget | 2 |
| Victor Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
New York City FC Form
2025-04-26
Toronto FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
2025-04-19
New England Revolution
2–0
New York City FC
L
2025-04-12
New York City FC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-04-06
New York City FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-03-29
Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC
L
2025-03-22
Columbus Crew SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.01
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
New York City FC or Draw 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
56%
Draw or New York City FC
73%
Toronto FC or New York City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

