FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kevin Denkey 14' Y

Luca Orellano 39' Y

Y 52' Matt Polster

Y 82' Peyton Miller

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 27 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution 2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution 2023-04-29 New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
29 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
09 Mar	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
02 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–1	L
23 Feb	Nashville SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New England Revolution
#9	Position	#3
33	Points	46
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	14 / 4 / 9
55	Scored	45
64	Conceded	36
-9	GD	+9
1.27	PPG	1.70
31%	Win %	52%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

26% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

4/3

16-30

2/2

31-45

7/5

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/4

76+

10/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	12 G	4 A
Dor Turgeman	7 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at TQL Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution.
5' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New England Revolution backline.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alhassan Yusuf, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
14' Kevin Denkey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 14.
19' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
24' New England Revolution started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
34' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
39' Luca Orellano was booked on 39.
44' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
49' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New England Revolution's compact .
52' The referee has no hesitation. Matt Polster is booked for New England Revolution — card on 52.
56' It is a substitution in New England Revolution team. Maxi Urruti is replaced by Jackson Yueill on 56 minute.
58' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Sergio Santos comes on to replace Brad Smith.
63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with New England Revolution winning 100% of all matches.
65' Magnificent from Sergio Santos! That is 34 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
70' It’s high time Caleb Porter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
73' Fresh legs for New England Revolution! Luis Diaz comes on to replace Luca Langoni.
78' Corey Baird makes way for Alvas Powell at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
82' Poor challenge from Peyton Miller. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
84' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Sergio Santos is replaced by Stefan Chirila.
85' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Lukas Engel is withdrawn and Gerardo Valenzuela gets his opportunity.
90' Corey Baird has been relatively quiet despite scoring 38 goals in his last 287 appearances.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 1-0 New England Revolution.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Buksa	4
Giacomo Vrioni	3
Brandon Vazquez	2
Dom Badji	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Emmanuel Boateng	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Kevin Denkey	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L

New England Revolution Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution L 2025-03-29 New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-03-15 New York City FC 2–1 New England Revolution L 2025-03-09 New England Revolution 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-03-02 New England Revolution 0–1 Columbus Crew SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.72 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati45% Draw24% New England Revolution31%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

69%

Draw or New England Revolution

55%

FC Cincinnati or New England Revolution

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati30% Draw42% New England Revolution28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.7%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	19%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	17%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.