FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kevin Denkey 14' Y

Luca Orellano 39' Y

Y 52' Matt Polster

Y 82' Peyton Miller

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution 2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution 2023-04-29 New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
29 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
09 Mar	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
02 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–1	L
23 Feb	Nashville SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New England Revolution
#6	Position	#3
26	Points	30
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	9 / 3 / 6
45	Scored	28
44	Conceded	23
+1	GD	+5
1.44	PPG	1.67
39%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

32% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

3/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/–

76+

5/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

New England Revolution

Carles Gil

5 G

3 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution is underway.
5' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' New England Revolution come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Denkey on 14.
19' Gerardo Valenzuela, a USA , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
24' DeAndre Yedlin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
29' New England Revolution is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
34' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past New England Revolution's compact .
39' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
49' New England Revolution has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
52' It’s a booking for New England Revolution player. Matt Polster gets a card.
56' Jackson Yueill is replacing Maxi Urruti for the New England Revolution side.
58' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Brad Smith departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Denkey suffering a number of foals already.
65' What a strike from Sergio Santos! The score is 1-0.
70' New England Revolution are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
73' Time for substitution for New England Revolution. Luca Langoni is replaced by Luis Diaz.
78' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Alvas Powell comes on to replace Corey Baird.
82' New England Revolution player sees a card in front of him.
84' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Sergio Santos by Stefan Chirila on 84 minute.
85' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 85 minute. Lukas Engel leaves to be changed by Gerardo Valenzuela.
90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Buksa	4
Giacomo Vrioni	3
Emmanuel Boateng	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Dom Badji	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Carles Gil	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L

New England Revolution Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution L 2025-03-29 New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-03-15 New York City FC 2–1 New England Revolution L 2025-03-09 New England Revolution 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-03-02 New England Revolution 0–1 Columbus Crew SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.85 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati49% Draw24% New England Revolution27%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

72%

Draw or New England Revolution

51%

FC Cincinnati or New England Revolution

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati34% Draw41% New England Revolution25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.5%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

5.8%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.5%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

1 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	20%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

22% ✗

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.