FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New England Revolution 14 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #4 |
| 20 | Points | 25 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 8 / 1 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 22 |
| 37 | Conceded | 18 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 33% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
36%
Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season
New England Revolution this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New England Revolution are 4th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New England Revolution
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against New England Revolution. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 14' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Denkey is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 14.
- 19' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 24' New England Revolution fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Caleb Porter will be considering his options from the bench.
- 34' DeAndre Yedlin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 39' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 44' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. New England Revolution seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 49' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New England Revolution's shape.
- 52' Poor challenge from Matt Polster. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 56' The whistle greets Maxi Urruti as he departs to be replaced by Jackson Yueill.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Santos. He replaces Brad Smith on 58 minute.
- 63' Gerardo Valenzuela has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Sergio Santos makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 73' The New England Revolution manager makes a substitution. Luca Langoni departs to be replaced by Luis Diaz.
- 78' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Corey Baird departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 82' Peyton Miller is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 84' The crowd applauds Sergio Santos as he leaves the pitch. Stefan Chirila steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 85' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 85 minute. Lukas Engel leaves to be changed by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 90' The travelling New England Revolution supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 1-0 the final result. New England Revolution will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Alvas Powell 78'
- 4
-
14
Brad Smith ↓ Sergio Santos 58'
- 20
- 9
- 23
- 27
- 18
- 29
- 3
Bench
- 21
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 78'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 58'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 85'
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
New England Revolution Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 10
- 8
- 31
- 2
- 80
- 3
-
37
Maxi Urruti ↓ Jackson Yueill 56'
-
41
Luca Langoni ↓ Luis Diaz 73'
- 12
- 25
Bench
-
14
Jackson Yueill ↑ 56'
- 15
- 24
-
11
Luis Diaz ↑ 73'
- 4
- 23
- 29
- 5
- 22
Coach
Caleb Porter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adam Buksa | 4 |
| Giacomo Vrioni | 3 |
| Brenner da Silva | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Dom Badji | 2 |
| Gustavo Bou | 2 |
| Emmanuel Boateng | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New England Revolution Form
2025-04-05
FC Cincinnati
1–0
New England Revolution
L
2025-03-29
New England Revolution
2–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2025-03-15
New York City FC
2–1
New England Revolution
L
2025-03-09
New England Revolution
0–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-03-02
New England Revolution
0–1
Columbus Crew SC
L
2025-02-23
Nashville SC
0–0
New England Revolution
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
New England Revolution xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
72%
Draw or New England Revolution
52%
FC Cincinnati or New England Revolution
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New England Revolution covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
New England Revolution keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.