FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New England Revolution

Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kevin Denkey 14' Y

Luca Orellano 39' Y

Y 52' Matt Polster

Y 82' Peyton Miller

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 14 games · Avg 3.2 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution 2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-07-01 FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution 2023-04-29 New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
29 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
09 Mar	Philadelphia Union	H	0–2	L
02 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–1	L
23 Feb	Nashville SC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New England Revolution
#8	Position	#3
46	Points	58
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	18 / 4 / 12
67	Scored	55
75	Conceded	47
-8	GD	+8
1.35	PPG	1.71
35%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

24% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (58 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

5/5

16-30

4/2

31-45

9/6

46-60

9/3

61-75

2/8

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	13 G	7 A
Dor Turgeman	12 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	7 A

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome New England Revolution for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' New England Revolution looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Dor Turgeman scoring 2 goals.
14' Kevin Denkey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 14.
19' It’s high time Caleb Porter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
24' The travelling New England Revolution supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
29' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
39' The referee has no hesitation. Luca Orellano is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 39.
44' Gerardo Valenzuela has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
49' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brayan Ceballos, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
52' The referee has no hesitation. Matt Polster is booked for New England Revolution — card on 52.
56' The New England Revolution bench stirs into life. Maxi Urruti is withdrawn and Jackson Yueill gets his opportunity.
58' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Brad Smith by Sergio Santos on 58 minute.
63' New England Revolution are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
65' Brilliant from the ! Sergio Santos makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 65.
70' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
73' New England Revolution make a change. Luca Langoni trudges off to be replaced by Luis Diaz on 73 minutes.
78' The whistle greets Corey Baird as he departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
82' That is a card for New England Revolution. Peyton Miller will be fuming at that decision.
84' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Sergio Santos is replaced by Stefan Chirila on 84 minute.
85' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Lukas Engel.
90' New England Revolution is showing some good football. However, New England Revolution are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Buksa	4
Giacomo Vrioni	3
Brenner da Silva	2
Kevin Denkey	2
Brandon Vazquez	2
Gustavo Bou	2
Dom Badji	2
Dor Turgeman	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L

New England Revolution Form

2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution L 2025-03-29 New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls W 2025-03-15 New York City FC 2–1 New England Revolution L 2025-03-09 New England Revolution 0–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-03-02 New England Revolution 0–1 Columbus Crew SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.68 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati47% Draw25% New England Revolution28%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

72%

Draw or New England Revolution

53%

FC Cincinnati or New England Revolution

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati31% Draw43% New England Revolution26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.5%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

6.1%

0 – 0

0 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	20%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	17%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.