FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Penso
- Assistant 1 Kali Smith (USA)
- Assistant 2 Jeffrey Swartzel (USA)
10 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 12.4 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | New York City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Jul | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Charlotte FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #10 |
| 46 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 10 / 12 / 12 |
| 67 | Scored | 49 |
| 75 | Conceded | 45 |
| -8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
18%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York City FC are 10th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 16 G | 6 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds TQL Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and New York City FC.
- 5' Mitja Ilenic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 6' The Gabon Aaron Boupendza breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 1-0!
- 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
- 16' Roman Celentano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 263 appearances.
- 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 26' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Brandon Vazquez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 41' Keaton Parks is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 45' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Matt Miazga gets a card.
- 50' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yuya Kubo on 50 minutes.
- 52' Goal! Junior Moreno scores his 7 goal in 296 matches.
- 57' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' The USA Nick Hagglund breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 3-0!
- 64' It looks surprising New York City FC does not make any changes. Ian Murphy has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 69' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 74' Andres Perea has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
- 79' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 83' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Braian Cufre by Alonso Martinez on 83 minute.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Birk Risa on 88.
- 90' Andres Perea picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 3-0 New York City FC. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 9
- 7
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 93
- 19
- 42
- 32
- 18
Bench
- 2
- 28
- 1
- 31
- 17
- 8
- 26
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 83'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York City FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 27
- 55
- 1
- 15
- 24
- 5
- 35
-
3
Braian Cufre ↓ Alonso Martinez 83'
- 11
- 9
Bench
- 7
- 49
- 80
- 43
- 21
- 22
- 17
- 20
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↑ 83'
Coach
Nick Cushing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
2023-08-26
FC Cincinnati
3–0
New York City FC
L
2023-08-20
New York City FC
0–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-07-15
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New York City FC
L
2023-07-08
Columbus Crew SC
1–1
New York City FC
D
2023-07-05
New York City FC
1–1
Charlotte FC
D
2023-07-01
Montreal Impact FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.14
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or New York City FC
46%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

