FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Penso
- Assistant 1 Kali Smith (USA)
- Assistant 2 Jeffrey Swartzel (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | New York City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Jul | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jul | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Jul | Charlotte FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Aug | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Jul | Philadelphia Union | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Charlotte FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jul | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 31 |
| 44 | Conceded | 24 |
| +1 | GD | +7 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and New York City FC get this one started.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 6' What a strike from Aaron Boupendza! The score is 1-0.
- 11' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keaton Parks made 289 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Thiago Martins has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuya Kubo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
- 45' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' Poor challenge from Yuya Kubo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' Brilliant from the ! Junior Moreno makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 52.
- 57' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' What a strike from Nick Hagglund! The score is 3-0.
- 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 69' Norway international Birk Risa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 79' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 83' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Braian Cufre is replaced by Alonso Martinez on 83 minute.
- 88' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Andres Perea catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
- 9
- 7
- 13
- 4
- 10
- 93
- 19
- 42
- 32
- 18
Bench
- 2
- 28
- 1
- 31
- 17
- 8
- 26
-
58
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 83'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York City FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 27
- 55
- 1
- 15
- 24
- 5
- 35
-
3
Braian Cufre ↓ Alonso Martinez 83'
- 11
- 9
Bench
- 7
- 49
- 80
- 43
- 21
- 22
- 17
- 20
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↑ 83'
Coach
Nick Cushing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
2023-08-26
FC Cincinnati
3–0
New York City FC
L
2023-08-20
New York City FC
0–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2023-07-15
Philadelphia Union
2–1
New York City FC
L
2023-07-08
Columbus Crew SC
1–1
New York City FC
D
2023-07-05
New York City FC
1–1
Charlotte FC
D
2023-07-01
Montreal Impact FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.41
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
74%
Draw or New York City FC
47%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
3.4%
1 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.