New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 5–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–5 | L |
| 14 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct | New York City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #7 |
| 19 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 4 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 21 | Conceded | 37 |
| +4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! New York City FC welcome FC Cincinnati for this crunch clash at Yankee Stadium.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Mitja Ilenic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 16' Magnificent from Mitja Ilenic! That is 3 goals in 286 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 21' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 34' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 39' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' James Sands picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' The crowd applauds Teenage Hadebe as he leaves the pitch. Yamil Asad steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' Alvas Powell makes way for Ian Murphy at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 65' Assisted by Santiago Rodriguez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 67' Thiago Martins catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
- 69' What composure from Luciano Acosta! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' Santiago Rodriguez makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and New York City FC are in front.
- 76' Monsef Bakrar gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Alonso Martinez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Nicholas Gioacchini on, Yuya Kubo off on 81 minutes.
- 84' Andres Perea catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 85' Tayvon Gray is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mitja Ilenic at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Tayvon Gray has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' The crowd applauds DeAndre Yedlin as he leaves the pitch. Kipp Keller steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
-
27
Maxi Moralez ↓ Birk Risa 85'
- 6
- 49
- 80
- 8
- 10
- 22
-
35
Mitja Ilenic ↓ Tayvon Gray 85'
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 76'
Bench
-
12
Strahinja Tanasijevic ↑ 90'
- 1
-
24
Tayvon Gray ↑ 85'
-
5
Birk Risa ↑ 85'
- 18
- 26
- 7
- 11
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 76'
Coach
Nick Cushing
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Kipp Keller 90'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Nicholas Gioacchini 81'
-
2
Alvas Powell ↓ Ian Murphy 61'
- 10
- 12
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Corey Baird 81'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Yamil Asad 46'
- 18
- 19
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 81'
- 36
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 46'
-
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 81'
- 15
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 61'
-
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 90'
- 26
- 22
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2024-10-02
New York City FC
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2024-09-28
New York Red Bulls
1–5
New York City FC
W
2024-09-21
New York City FC
1–1
Internacional CF Miami
D
2024-09-18
New York City FC
1–5
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-09-14
D.C. United SC
1–1
New York City FC
D
2024-08-31
Columbus Crew SC
4–2
New York City FC
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
56%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

