New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York City FC

3 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 34' Kevin Kelsy

James Sands 41' Y

Thiago Martins 67' Y

Andres Perea 84' Y

Tayvon Gray 90' Y

Hannes Wolf 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Seattle Sounders FC	27	38
23	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC 2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-08 New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	3–2	W
28 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	5–1	W
21 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
31 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–4	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
19 Sep	Minnesota United FC	A	2–1	W
14 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
31 Aug	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

New York City FC		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#9
33	Points	33
27	Played	26
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
41	Scored	55
36	Conceded	64
+5	GD	-9
1.22	PPG	1.27
30%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and New York City FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
5' New York City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ian Murphy made 252 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
16' Assisted by Maxi Moralez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mitja Ilenic makes no mistake. 1-0!
21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
26' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nick Cushing will be considering his options from the bench.
31' Miles Robinson, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
34' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kevin Kelsy gets a card.
39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
41' Controversy at the stadium! James Sands argues furiously but the card stands.
46' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Teenage Hadebe has done his job and it is now time for Yamil Asad to step up.
51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
61' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Alvas Powell departs to be replaced by Ian Murphy.
65' Assisted by Santiago Rodriguez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. 2-0!
67' The referee calls foul for Thiago Martins. He receives a card.
69' GOAL! Luciano Acosta scores on 69.
74' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
75' GOAL! Santiago Rodriguez fires home to make it 3-1!
76' Monsef Bakrar is replacing Alonso Martinez for the New York City FC side.
81' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 81 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Nicholas Gioacchini.
84' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Andres Perea gets a card.
85' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Mitja Ilenic is withdrawn and Tayvon Gray gets his opportunity.
90' The referee shows New York City FC player a card on 90.
90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Kipp Keller comes on to replace DeAndre Yedlin.
The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Hannes Wolf
13
Thiago Martins
27
Maxi Moralez ↓ Birk Risa 85'
6
James Sands
49
Matt Freese
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
10
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'
22
Kevin O'Toole
35
Mitja Ilenic ↓ Tayvon Gray 85'
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 76'

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 81'
36
Evan Louro
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 46'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 81'
15
Bret Halsey
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 61'
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 90'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Jesus Medina	3
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Brandon Vazquez	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC W 2024-09-21 New York City FC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-14 D.C. United SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2024-08-31 Columbus Crew SC 4–2 New York City FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-09-14 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.18 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.96 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York City FC or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC44% Draw23% FC Cincinnati33%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

56%

New York City FC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC34% Draw37% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.9%

3 – 3

3.3%

0 – 2

3.2%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.