New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

New York City FC

3 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 34' Kevin Kelsy

James Sands 41' Y

Thiago Martins 67' Y

Andres Perea 84' Y

Tayvon Gray 90' Y

Hannes Wolf 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 15 games · Avg 4.0 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC 2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-08 New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	3–2	W
28 Sep	New York Red Bulls	A	5–1	W
21 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–1	D
18 Sep	Philadelphia Union	H	1–5	L
14 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	1–1	D
31 Aug	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–4	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
19 Sep	Minnesota United FC	A	2–1	W
14 Sep	Columbus Crew SC	H	0–0	D
31 Aug	Montreal Impact FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

New York City FC		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#6
26	Points	26
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
31	Scored	45
24	Conceded	44
+7	GD	+1
1.44	PPG	1.44
39%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

4/–

16-30

3/4

31-45

2/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	11 G	3 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A
Agustin Ojeda	4 G	3 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: New York City FC gets underway.
5' It’s high time Nick Cushing made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' New York City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
16' Mitja Ilenic does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
21' Santiago Rodriguez, a Uruguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
34' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Kelsy is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 34.
39' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
41' James Sands was booked on 41.
46' Teenage Hadebe makes way for Yamil Asad at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
61' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ian Murphy is hanging Alvas Powell on the field on 61 minute.
65' Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and New York City FC are in front.
67' Poor challenge from Thiago Martins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
69' What composure from Luciano Acosta! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-1.
74' Kipp Keller is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
75' Santiago Rodriguez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
76' Monsef Bakrar is replacing Alonso Martinez for the New York City FC side.
81' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yuya Kubo by Nicholas Gioacchini on 81 minute.
84' The referee calls foul for Andres Perea. He receives a card.
85' New York City FC make a change. Mitja Ilenic trudges off to be replaced by Tayvon Gray on 85 minutes.
90' It’s a booking for New York City FC player. Tayvon Gray gets a card.
90' The supporters are chanting for Kipp Keller. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Hannes Wolf
13
Thiago Martins
27
Maxi Moralez ↓ Birk Risa 85'
6
James Sands
49
Matt Freese
80
Justin Haak
8
Andres Perea
10
Santiago Rodriguez ↓ Strahinja Tanasijevic 90'
22
Kevin O'Toole
35
Mitja Ilenic ↓ Tayvon Gray 85'
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 76'

Bench

Coach Nick Cushing

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 81'
36
Evan Louro
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 46'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 81'
15
Bret Halsey
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 61'
14
Kipp Keller ↑ 90'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Jesus Medina	3
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC W 2024-09-21 New York City FC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-14 D.C. United SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2024-08-31 Columbus Crew SC 4–2 New York City FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-09-14 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Columbus Crew SC D 2024-08-31 FC Cincinnati 4–1 Montreal Impact FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.35 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.11 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC45% Draw22% FC Cincinnati33%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

67%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

55%

New York City FC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC35% Draw36% FC Cincinnati29%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.6%

1 – 1

6.5%

1 – 2

3 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.8%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.3%

4 – 2

3.1%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	17%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.