Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.
- Chicago Fire FC 29 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 28 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 66 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 29 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 29 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 36 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 33 |
| 12 | D.C. United SC | 28 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 29 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 29 | 52 |
| 17 | St. Louis City | 29 | 51 |
| 18 | FC Dallas | 29 | 50 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 47 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 46 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 45 |
| 22 | Seattle Sounders FC | 29 | 41 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 39 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 29 | 38 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 29 | 33 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 33 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 33 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 31 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 29 | 31 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Chicago Fire FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 48 | Points | 36 |
| 29 | Played | 28 |
| 14 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 9 / 10 |
| 52 | Scored | 60 |
| 43 | Conceded | 68 |
| +9 | GD | -8 |
| 1.66 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 48% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Chicago Fire FC are 4th (48 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
8/2
16-30
7/6
31-45
4/8
46-60
6/8
61-75
8/2
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 11 G | 4 A |
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 9 G | 3 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Soldier Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Chicago Fire FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 9' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 9 puts his side firmly in control.
- 14' Over 14 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 19' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 21' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Carlos Teran has done his job and it is now time for Sam Rogers to step up.
- 26' Chicago Fire FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 31' Hugo Cuypers does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
- 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Kevin Denkey doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 43' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
- 46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Gilberto Flores on, Matt Miazga off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 53' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 53 minute. Sergio Santos leaves to be changed by Luca Orellano.
- 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 64' A tactical swap from Chicago Fire FC — Maren Haile-Selassie on, Sergio Oregel off on 64 minutes.
- 65' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Dje Davilla comes on to replace Mauricio Pineda.
- 70' The Chicago Fire FC manager makes a substitution. Philip Zinckernagel departs to be replaced by Kellyn Acosta.
- 71' Magnificent from Evander! That is 58 goals in 296 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 80' FC Cincinnati make a change. Evander trudges off to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela on 80 minutes.
- 85' Brian Gutierrez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 85 minutes.
- 86' The whistle greets Kevin Denkey as he departs to be replaced by Corey Baird.
- 87' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. DeAndre Yedlin is replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 88' Chicago Fire FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Roman Celentano.
- The points are shared — Chicago Fire FC 2-3 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 15
-
22
Mauricio Pineda ↓ Dje Davilla 65'
- 17
- 11
-
4
Carlos Teran ↓ Sam Rogers 21'
- 1
- 9
- 35
- 26
Bench
-
23
Kellyn Acosta ↑ 70'
-
7
Maren Haile-Selassie ↑ 64'
- 12
- 34
- 25
- 24
-
5
Sam Rogers ↑ 21'
- 36
-
42
Dje Davilla ↑ 65'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 80'
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 87'
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Gilberto Flores 46'
- 4
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 86'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Luca Orellano 53'
- 27
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 86'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
- 14
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 53'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 80'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Junior Moreno | 2 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 2 |
Head to Head
Chicago Fire FC Form
2025-04-20
Chicago Fire FC
2–3
FC Cincinnati
L
2025-04-13
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Internacional CF Miami
D
2025-04-05
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Chicago Fire FC
L
2025-03-30
Chicago Fire FC
1–1
Montreal Impact FC
D
2025-03-23
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–3
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-03-15
Toronto FC
1–2
Chicago Fire FC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Chicago Fire FC or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
58%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC
| Handicap | Chicago Fire FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

