Sunday , 16 August 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
13 Apr Internacional CF Miami H 0–0 D
05 Apr New York Red Bulls A 1–2 L
30 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 1–1 D
23 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 3–1 W
15 Mar Toronto FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr D.C. United SC A 1–0 W
05 Apr New England Revolution H 1–0 W
30 Mar Nashville SC A 2–1 W
22 Mar Atlanta United FC H 2–2 D
15 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC FC Cincinnati
#4 Position #6
29 Points 26
17 Played 18
9 / 2 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 6
32 Scored 45
23 Conceded 44
+9 GD +1
1.71 PPG 1.44
53% Win % 39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A
FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC42% Draw23% FC Cincinnati35%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
58%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC37% Draw37% FC Cincinnati26%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 18% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
16%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.