Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Chicago Fire FC

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 43' Kevin Denkey

Kellyn Acosta 88' Y

Y 90' Roman Celentano

Y 90' Luca Orellano

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 14 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC 2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
13 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–0	D
05 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	1–2	L
30 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D
23 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	3–1	W
15 Mar	Toronto FC	A	2–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–0	W
05 Apr	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		FC Cincinnati
#3	Position	#7
26	Points	20
14	Played	15
8 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	5 / 5 / 5
27	Scored	36
16	Conceded	37
+11	GD	-1
1.86	PPG	1.33
57%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/4

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/–

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Chicago Fire FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
5' Carlos Teran has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 275 appearances.
9' What a strike from Evander! The score is 0-1.
14' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
19' Chicago Fire FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
21' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Carlos Teran by Sam Rogers on 21 minute.
26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pat Noonan might look to freshen things up shortly.
31' The Belgium Hugo Cuypers breaks the deadlock on 31 minutes. 1-1!
36' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luca Orellano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chicago Fire FC.
42' GOAL! Kevin Denkey fires home to make it 1-2!
43' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Denkey argues furiously but the card stands.
46' FC Cincinnati make a change. Matt Miazga trudges off to be replaced by Gilberto Flores on 46 minutes.
51' Chicago Fire FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
53' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Sergio Santos is withdrawn and Luca Orellano gets his opportunity.
58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
64' Maren Haile-Selassie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergio Oregel at the 64 minute mark.
65' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Mauricio Pineda by Dje Davilla on 65 minute.
70' Kellyn Acosta is replacing Philip Zinckernagel for the Chicago Fire FC side.
71' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evander makes no mistake. 1-3!
76' Lukas Engel has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
80' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Evander.
85' A stunning finish from Brian Gutierrez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
86' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corey Baird is hanging Kevin Denkey on the field on 86 minute.
87' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. DeAndre Yedlin departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kellyn Acosta.
90' Roman Celentano picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

19
Jonathan Bamba
3
Jack Elliott
15
Andrew Gutman
22
Mauricio Pineda ↓ Dje Davilla 65'
17
Brian Gutierrez
11
Philip Zinckernagel ↓ Kellyn Acosta 70'
4
Carlos Teran ↓ Sam Rogers 21'
1
Chris Brady
9
Hugo Cuypers
35
Sergio Oregel ↓ Maren Haile-Selassie 64'
26
Omari Glasgow

Bench

Coach Gregg Berhalter

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 86'
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
14
Brad Smith
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 53'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 80'
19
Stefan Chirila
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Robert Beric	3
Jhon Duran	3
Brian Gutierrez	3
Kevin Denkey	2
Junior Moreno	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-13 Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Internacional CF Miami D 2025-04-05 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-30 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D 2025-03-23 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.3 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC45% Draw23% FC Cincinnati32%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

55%

Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC39% Draw37% FC Cincinnati24%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

5.1%

1 – 0

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

Actual

4 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	15%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	19%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.