Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.
- Chicago Fire FC 34 games · 55 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Toronto FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Chicago Fire FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 55 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 7 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 64 | Scored | 67 |
| 54 | Conceded | 75 |
| +10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.62 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 47% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Chicago Fire FC
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 13 G | 5 A |
| Hugo Cuypers | 12 G | |
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Robert Lewandowski | 9 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Jonathan Bamba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chicago Fire FC so far.
- 9' Goal! Evander scores his 59 goal in 302 matches.
- 14' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' Sam Rogers is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlos Teran at the 21 minute mark.
- 26' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' Hugo Cuypers is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' Luca Orellano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 33 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' A stunning finish from Kevin Denkey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 43' A moment of madness from Kevin Denkey on 43 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 46' Gilberto Flores is replacing Matt Miazga for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 263 games and scored 381 goals.
- 53' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Sergio Santos exits the field as Luca Orellano enters on 53.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nick Hagglund made 299 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 64' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Sergio Oregel has done his job and it is now time for Maren Haile-Selassie to step up.
- 65' The Chicago Fire FC bench stirs into life. Mauricio Pineda is withdrawn and Dje Davilla gets his opportunity.
- 70' Another substitution for Chicago Fire FC to replace Philip Zinckernagel by Kellyn Acosta on 70 minute.
- 71' Evander is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 11 goals this season for the .
- 76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 80' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 80 minute. Evander leaves to be changed by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 85' GOAL! Brian Gutierrez scores on 85.
- 86' Kevin Denkey makes way for Corey Baird at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 87' Alvas Powell gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Kellyn Acosta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roman Celentano on 90.
- 2-3 the final result. Chicago Fire FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 3
- 15
-
22
Mauricio Pineda ↓ Dje Davilla 65'
- 17
- 11
-
4
Carlos Teran ↓ Sam Rogers 21'
- 1
- 9
- 35
- 26
Bench
-
23
Kellyn Acosta ↑ 70'
-
7
Maren Haile-Selassie ↑ 64'
- 12
- 34
- 25
- 24
-
5
Sam Rogers ↑ 21'
- 36
-
42
Dje Davilla ↑ 65'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 80'
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 87'
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Gilberto Flores 46'
- 4
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 86'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↓ Luca Orellano 53'
- 27
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 86'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
- 14
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 53'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 80'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Junior Moreno | 2 |
Head to Head
Chicago Fire FC Form
2025-04-20
Chicago Fire FC
2–3
FC Cincinnati
L
2025-04-13
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
Internacional CF Miami
D
2025-04-05
New York Red Bulls
2–1
Chicago Fire FC
L
2025-03-30
Chicago Fire FC
1–1
Montreal Impact FC
D
2025-03-23
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–3
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-03-15
Toronto FC
1–2
Chicago Fire FC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.11
Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Chicago Fire FC or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
59%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC
| Handicap | Chicago Fire FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.