Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Chicago Fire FC

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 43' Kevin Denkey

Kellyn Acosta 88' Y

Y 90' Roman Celentano

Y 90' Luca Orellano

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire FC 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC 2023-03-19 Chicago Fire FC 3–3 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Chicago Fire FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
13 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–0	D
05 Apr	New York Red Bulls	A	1–2	L
30 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	1–1	D
23 Mar	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	3–1	W
15 Mar	Toronto FC	A	2–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Apr	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–0	W
05 Apr	New England Revolution	H	1–0	W
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC		FC Cincinnati
#5	Position	#9
42	Points	33
26	Played	26
12 / 6 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
46	Scored	55
38	Conceded	64
+8	GD	-9
1.62	PPG	1.27
46%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

0-15

7/2

16-30

7/5

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/6

61-75

8/–

76+

3/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC

Hugo Cuypers	11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie	8 G	3 A
Philip Zinckernagel	5 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Soldier Field as Chicago Fire FC face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
9' Goal! Evander scores his 58 goal in 293 matches.
14' It looks surprising Chicago Fire FC does not make any changes. Jack Elliott has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
19' Brian Gutierrez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
21' Sam Rogers has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlos Teran on 21 minute.
26' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
31' A stunning finish from Hugo Cuypers — that came from absolutely nowhere!
36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chicago Fire FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
41' Chicago Fire FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
42' Kevin Denkey doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
43' Poor challenge from Kevin Denkey. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
46' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Matt Miazga exits the field as Gilberto Flores enters on 46.
51' Chicago Fire FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
53' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Sergio Santos has done his job and it is now time for Luca Orellano to step up.
58' Luca Orellano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 169 appearances.
63' Chicago Fire FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
64' Time for substitution for Chicago Fire FC. Sergio Oregel is replaced by Maren Haile-Selassie.
65' The whistle greets Mauricio Pineda as he departs to be replaced by Dje Davilla.
70' Kellyn Acosta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philip Zinckernagel on 70 minute.
71' The Brazil Evander breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 1-3!
76' Corey Baird has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
80' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Evander departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
85' The Mexico Brian Gutierrez breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-3!
86' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kevin Denkey exits the field as Corey Baird enters on 86.
87' FC Cincinnati make a change. DeAndre Yedlin trudges off to be replaced by Alvas Powell on 87 minutes.
88' Poor challenge from Kellyn Acosta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 90.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

19
Jonathan Bamba
3
Jack Elliott
15
Andrew Gutman
22
Mauricio Pineda ↓ Dje Davilla 65'
17
Brian Gutierrez
11
Philip Zinckernagel ↓ Kellyn Acosta 70'
4
Carlos Teran ↓ Sam Rogers 21'
1
Chris Brady
9
Hugo Cuypers
35
Sergio Oregel ↓ Maren Haile-Selassie 64'
26
Omari Glasgow

Bench

Coach Gregg Berhalter

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 86'
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
14
Brad Smith
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 53'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 80'
19
Stefan Chirila
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 46'

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evander	7
Hugo Cuypers	5
Luciano Acosta	4
Brian Gutierrez	3
Robert Beric	3
Jhon Duran	3
Rafael Czichos	2
Ignacio Aliseda	2

Head to Head

Chicago Fire FC Form

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2025-04-13 Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Internacional CF Miami D 2025-04-05 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-03-30 Chicago Fire FC 1–1 Montreal Impact FC D 2025-03-23 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 1–3 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-03-15 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-12 D.C. United SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-04-05 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New England Revolution W 2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.2 Chicago Fire FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC42% Draw24% FC Cincinnati34%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw

66%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

58%

Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Chicago Fire FC36% Draw38% FC Cincinnati26%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.8%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.4%

3 – 1

5.6%

3 – 2

2 – 0

4.6%

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

3.8%

1 – 0

3.7%

3 – 0

3.3%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap	Chicago Fire FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	19%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.