Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Atlanta United FC

4 – 3

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Brad Guzan 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 17 games · Avg 3.3 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-29 Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC 2024-07-17 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC 2024-04-06 New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC 2023-06-21 Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FC 2023-04-08 New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC

Recent Form

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Mar	New York City FC	H	4–3	W
22 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	2–2	D
16 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
09 Mar	New York Red Bulls	H	0–0	D
01 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–2	W

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	3–4	L
22 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D
15 Mar	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
09 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	2–1	W
02 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	0–1	L
23 Feb	Internacional CF Miami	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC		New York City FC
#14	Position	#8
27	Points	33
27	Played	27
7 / 6 / 14	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 10
32	Scored	41
45	Conceded	36
-13	GD	+5
1.00	PPG	1.22
26%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

3/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

3/6

61-75

4/7

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Mercedes-Benz Stadium that hosts another battle between Atlanta United FC and New York City FC.
5' Aleksei Miranchuk, a Russia , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' Hannes Wolf makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and New York City FC are in front.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' Jonathan Shore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
30' Saba Lobzhanidze is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ronny Deila will be considering his options from the bench.
42' What an equalizer from Aleksei Miranchuk!
46' A change in the Atlanta United FC ranks — Bartosz Slisz exits the field as Ajani Fortune enters on 46.
48' Alonso Martinez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and New York City FC are in front.
51' A goal from the Austria international Hannes Wolf! He fires home on 51 to make it 1-3!
56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York City FC that had 294 games and scored 463 goals.
57' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Mateusz Klich is replaced by Matthew Edwards on 57 minute.
58' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 58 minute. Dominik Chong-Qui leaves to be changed by Xande Silva.
62' Keaton Parks is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
67' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
75' Magnificent from Miguel Almiron! That is 64 goals in 292 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
76' The supporters are chanting for Luis Abram. He replaces Stian Gregersen on 76 minute.
80' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Agustin Ojeda comes on to replace Julian Fernandez.
84' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Emmanuel Latte Lath makes it 3-4.
84' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Keaton Parks is replaced by Birk Risa on 84 minute.
89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and New York City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
90' The referee shows Atlanta United FC player a card on 90.
90' Will Reilly gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Miguel Almiron and will look to change the dynamic.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Atlanta United FC 4-3 New York City FC.

Lineups

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ronny Deila

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Josef Martinez	7
Hannes Wolf	4
Gabriel Pereira	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Valentin Castellanos	3
Heber	3
Miguel Almiron	2
Monsef Bakrar	2

Head to Head

Atlanta United FC Form

2025-03-29 Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-16 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-03-09 Atlanta United FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2025-03-01 Charlotte FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC L 2025-02-23 Atlanta United FC 3–2 Montreal Impact FC W

New York City FC Form

2025-03-29 Atlanta United FC 4–3 New York City FC L 2025-03-22 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 New York City FC D 2025-03-15 New York City FC 2–1 New England Revolution W 2025-03-09 New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SC W 2025-03-02 Los Angeles FC 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-02-23 Internacional CF Miami 2–2 New York City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.62 Atlanta United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.64 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC41% Draw25% New York City FC34%

Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw

66%

Draw or New York City FC

59%

Atlanta United FC or New York City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atlanta United FC28% Draw42% New York City FC30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.1%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.6%

1 – 0

5.5%

0 – 0

5.4%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

4.3%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap	Atlanta United FC covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	18%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.