Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Guzan 90' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar New York City FC H 4–3 W
22 Mar FC Cincinnati A 2–2 D
16 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L
09 Mar New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
01 Mar Charlotte FC A 0–2 L
23 Feb Montreal Impact FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Atlanta United FC A 3–4 L
22 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D
15 Mar New England Revolution H 2–1 W
09 Mar Orlando City SC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Los Angeles FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Atlanta United FC New York City FC
#14 Position #8
11 Points 19
14 Played 15
3 / 2 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 4 / 6
14 Scored 25
23 Conceded 21
-9 GD +4
0.79 PPG 1.27
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

81% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC are looking to make home advantage count against New York City FC.
  • 5' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York City FC backline.
  • 10' New York City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Hannes Wolf adds to his 4 season tally! New York City FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' USA international Jonathan Shore has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' The 27-year-old Alonso Martinez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York City FC's shape.
  • 42' Against the run of play, Aleksei Miranchuk has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Atlanta United FC make a change. Bartosz Slisz trudges off to be replaced by Ajani Fortune on 46 minutes.
  • 48' What composure from Alonso Martinez! The Costa Rica international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 51' Against the run of play, Hannes Wolf has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Atlanta United FC in their trying to find a way past New York City FC's compact .
  • 57' Atlanta United FC make a change. Mateusz Klich trudges off to be replaced by Matthew Edwards on 57 minutes.
  • 58' Xande Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dominik Chong-Qui on 58 minute.
  • 62' What a moment for Keaton Parks! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' Atlanta United FC have won 428 goals from 283 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 75' Assisted by Xande Silva with the perfectly-timed delivery and Miguel Almiron makes no mistake. 2-4!
  • 76' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FCLuis Abram on, Stian Gregersen off on 76 minutes.
  • 80' Agustin Ojeda gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Julian Fernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Emmanuel Latte Lath has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 84' The whistle greets Keaton Parks as he departs to be replaced by Birk Risa.
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Brad Guzan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' The whistle greets Miguel Almiron as he departs to be replaced by Will Reilly.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: Atlanta United FC or New York City FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC40% Draw25% New York City FC35%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Atlanta United FC or Draw
65%
Draw or New York City FC
60%
Atlanta United FC or New York City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atlanta United FC27% Draw43% New York City FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC

Handicap Atlanta United FC covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.