Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | New York City FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 12 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 3 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 19 | Scored | 31 |
| 33 | Conceded | 24 |
| -14 | GD | +7 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 17% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
81%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). New York City FC are 5th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. New York City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Atlanta United FC have won 433 goals from 287 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hannes Wolf makes it 0-1.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The travelling New York City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Bartosz Slisz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Aleksei Miranchuk makes it 1-1.
- 46' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 46 minute. Bartosz Slisz leaves to be changed by Ajani Fortune.
- 48' What a strike from Alonso Martinez! The score is 1-2.
- 51' Hannes Wolf does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' Matthew Edwards is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mateusz Klich at the 57 minute mark.
- 58' Xande Silva gets the nod from Atlanta United FC. He replaces Dominik Chong-Qui and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' What composure from Keaton Parks! The USA international strokes it home. 1-4.
- 67' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
- 72' It looks surprising Atlanta United FC does not make any changes. Mateusz Klich has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 75' Against the run of play, Miguel Almiron has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 76' Stian Gregersen makes way for Luis Abram at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
- 80' The whistle greets Julian Fernandez as he departs to be replaced by Agustin Ojeda.
- 84' A stunning finish from Emmanuel Latte Lath — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' New York City FC ring the changes. Keaton Parks has done his job and it is now time for Birk Risa to step up.
- 89' USA international Kevin O'Toole has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' Brad Guzan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Will Reilly is hanging Miguel Almiron on the field on 90 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 4-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
43
Mateusz Klich ↓ Matthew Edwards 57'
- 3
- 19
- 11
- 59
- 1
-
10
Miguel Almiron ↓ Will Reilly 90'
-
5
Stian Gregersen ↓ Luis Abram 76'
- 18
-
99
Bartosz Slisz ↓ Ajani Fortune 46'
- 9
Bench
- 30
-
44
Luis Abram ↑ 76'
- 45
- 22
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↑ 46'
- 25
-
47
Matthew Edwards ↑ 57'
- 50
-
28
Will Reilly ↑ 90'
Coach
Ronny Deila
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
- 10
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Birk Risa 84'
- 49
- 80
- 22
- 35
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↓ Monsef Bakrar 90'
- 11
- 16
Bench
- 19
- 18
-
5
Birk Risa ↑ 84'
- 30
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 80'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 90'
- 38
- 71
Coach
Pascal Jansen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 7 |
| Hannes Wolf | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 4 |
| Heber | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 3 |
| Monsef Bakrar | 2 |
| Miguel Almiron | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-03-29
Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC
W
2025-03-22
FC Cincinnati
2–2
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-03-16
Atlanta United FC
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
2025-03-09
Atlanta United FC
0–0
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-03-01
Charlotte FC
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-02-23
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Montreal Impact FC
W
New York City FC Form
2025-03-29
Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC
L
2025-03-22
Columbus Crew SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2025-03-15
New York City FC
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-03-09
New York City FC
2–1
Orlando City SC
W
2025-03-02
Los Angeles FC
1–0
New York City FC
L
2025-02-23
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Atlanta United FC or New York City FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
62%
Draw or New York City FC
62%
Atlanta United FC or New York City FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.