FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Sporting Kansas City 26 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 5–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–4 | L |
| 06 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | FC Dallas | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Mar | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #30 |
| 33 | Points | 21 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 17 |
| 55 | Scored | 31 |
| 64 | Conceded | 63 |
| -9 | GD | -32 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 0.81 |
| 31% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
4%
Clean Sheets
Sporting Kansas City this season
Sporting Kansas City this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Sporting Kansas City are 30th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sporting Kansas City
0-15
3/8
16-30
7/7
31-45
5/8
46-60
2/6
61-75
4/11
76+
4/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sporting Kansas City kicks off things out of here…
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Matt Miazga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' The travelling Sporting Kansas City supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 17' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Anunga is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 17.
- 22' Sporting Kansas City are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' Pavel Bucha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 32' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' Evander is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kevin Denkey on 43.
- 48' FC Cincinnati have won 368 goals from 255 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zorhan Bassong suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 63' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sergio Santos is hanging Matt Miazga on the field on 63 minute.
- 66' Poor challenge from Dejan Joveljic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Zorhan Bassong. He replaces Nemanja Radoja on 66 minute.
- 71' Sporting Kansas City is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 73' It is a substitution in Sporting Kansas City team. Daniel Salloi is replaced by Erik Thommy on 73 minute.
- 78' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 2-0.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Denkey argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Magomed Suleymanov made 39 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Alvas Powell on, Luca Orellano off on 85 minutes.
- 86' Brad Smith is replacing Lukas Engel for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 89' A stunning finish from Zorhan Bassong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Kevin Denkey is replaced by Corey Baird on 90 minute.
- Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats Sporting Kansas City
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Sergio Santos 63'
- 4
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 90'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 85'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 63'
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 86'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 90'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 86'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 63'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 63'
- 22
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Sporting Kansas City Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
6
Nemanja Radoja ↓ Zorhan Bassong 66'
-
10
Daniel Salloi ↓ Erik Thommy 73'
-
11
Khiry Shelton ↓ Andrew Brody 86'
- 9
- 18
- 4
- 1
- 93
- 16
- 15
Bench
-
26
Erik Thommy ↑ 73'
- 14
-
3
Andrew Brody ↑ 86'
- 8
- 13
-
22
Zorhan Bassong ↑ 66'
-
30
Stephen Afrira ↑ 86'
- 36
- 2
Coach
Kerry Zavagnin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Roger Espinoza | 1 |
| Zorhan Bassong | 1 |
| Gianluca Busio | 1 |
| Darren Mattocks | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Sporting Kansas City Form
2025-04-26
FC Cincinnati
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-04-20
San Jose Earthquakes
3–5
Sporting Kansas City
W
2025-04-13
Sporting Kansas City
2–4
Portland Timbers
L
2025-04-06
Sporting Kansas City
2–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-03-30
FC Dallas
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-03-23
Sporting Kansas City
0–2
Los Angeles FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.68
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
Sporting Kansas City xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or Sporting Kansas City
41%
FC Cincinnati or Sporting Kansas City
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
6.8%
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Sporting Kansas City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 19% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Sporting Kansas City keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.