FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Sporting Kansas City 18 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 5–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–4 | L |
| 06 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | FC Dallas | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Mar | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #30 |
| 26 | Points | 14 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 12 |
| 45 | Scored | 18 |
| 44 | Conceded | 46 |
| +1 | GD | -28 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.78 |
| 39% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sporting Kansas City this season
Sporting Kansas City this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Sporting Kansas City are 30th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sporting Kansas City
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/6
46-60
2/4
61-75
2/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Sporting Kansas City
| Dejan Joveljic | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Sporting Kansas City in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Sporting Kansas City come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 17' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Anunga is booked for FC Cincinnati — card on 17.
- 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' The travelling Sporting Kansas City supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
- 37' Sporting Kansas City are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nick Hagglund is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 43' A stunning finish from Kevin Denkey — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 48' Stephen Afrira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sporting Kansas City tonight.
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kerry Zavagnin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' FC Cincinnati make a change. Matt Miazga trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Santos on 63 minutes.
- 66' The referee shows Sporting Kansas City player a card on 66.
- 66' Sporting Kansas City ring the changes. Nemanja Radoja has done his job and it is now time for Zorhan Bassong to step up.
- 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Evander, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 12 goals in the last 9 games.
- 73' Sporting Kansas City make a change. Daniel Salloi trudges off to be replaced by Erik Thommy on 73 minutes.
- 78' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 2-0.
- 79' The referee calls foul for Kevin Denkey. He receives a card.
- 84' Sporting Kansas City fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 85' Alvas Powell has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Orellano on 85 minute.
- 86' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Lukas Engel by Brad Smith on 86 minute.
- 89' GOAL! Zorhan Bassong fires home to make it 2-1!
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Corey Baird comes on to replace Kevin Denkey.
- With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Sergio Santos 63'
- 4
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 90'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 85'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 63'
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 86'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 90'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 86'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 63'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 63'
- 22
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Sporting Kansas City Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
6
Nemanja Radoja ↓ Zorhan Bassong 66'
-
10
Daniel Salloi ↓ Erik Thommy 73'
-
11
Khiry Shelton ↓ Andrew Brody 86'
- 9
- 18
- 4
- 1
- 93
- 16
- 15
Bench
-
26
Erik Thommy ↑ 73'
- 14
-
3
Andrew Brody ↑ 86'
- 8
- 13
-
22
Zorhan Bassong ↑ 66'
-
30
Stephen Afrira ↑ 86'
- 36
- 2
Coach
Kerry Zavagnin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Darren Mattocks | 1 |
| Roger Espinoza | 1 |
| Zorhan Bassong | 1 |
| Gianluca Busio | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Sporting Kansas City Form
2025-04-26
FC Cincinnati
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-04-20
San Jose Earthquakes
3–5
Sporting Kansas City
W
2025-04-13
Sporting Kansas City
2–4
Portland Timbers
L
2025-04-06
Sporting Kansas City
2–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-03-30
FC Dallas
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-03-23
Sporting Kansas City
0–2
Los Angeles FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Sporting Kansas City xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
84%
Draw or Sporting Kansas City
34%
FC Cincinnati or Sporting Kansas City
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4%
5 – 1
3.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Sporting Kansas City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 18% | 49% |
| -1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 18% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Sporting Kansas City keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.