FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Sporting Kansas City 34 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | Sporting Kansas City | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 5–3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 2–4 | L |
| 06 Apr | St. Louis City | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | FC Dallas | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Mar | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #30 |
| 46 | Points | 26 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 22 |
| 67 | Scored | 40 |
| 75 | Conceded | 81 |
| -8 | GD | -41 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 0.76 |
| 35% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
6%
Clean Sheets
Sporting Kansas City this season
Sporting Kansas City this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Sporting Kansas City are 30th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sporting Kansas City
0-15
3/12
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
3/7
61-75
6/15
76+
5/14
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Sporting Kansas City
| Andre Luiz | 7 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds TQL Stadium will turn into a battlefield for FC Cincinnati and Sporting Kansas City.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sporting Kansas City that had 298 games and scored 458 goals.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 17' Poor challenge from Brian Anunga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 22' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Sporting Kansas City are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 27' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' The travelling Sporting Kansas City supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' Logan Ndenbe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
- 43' The Togo Kevin Denkey breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 1-0!
- 48' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Sporting Kansas City are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 63' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Sergio Santos on, Matt Miazga off on 63 minutes.
- 66' Dejan Joveljic was booked on 66.
- 66' Time for substitution for Sporting Kansas City. Nemanja Radoja is replaced by Zorhan Bassong.
- 71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 73' Sporting Kansas City manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Erik Thommy is hanging Daniel Salloi on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' Kevin Denkey with the second goal in the match!
- 79' Kevin Denkey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
- 84' Miles Robinson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 85' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Luca Orellano exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 85.
- 86' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Lukas Engel exits the field as Brad Smith enters on 86.
- 89' What composure from Zorhan Bassong! The Canada international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 90' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Kevin Denkey is withdrawn and Corey Baird gets his opportunity.
- Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats Sporting Kansas City
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 91
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Sergio Santos 63'
- 4
- 12
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 90'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Alvas Powell 85'
-
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Obinna Nwobodo 63'
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 86'
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 90'
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 85'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 86'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 63'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 63'
- 22
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Sporting Kansas City Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
6
Nemanja Radoja ↓ Zorhan Bassong 66'
-
10
Daniel Salloi ↓ Erik Thommy 73'
-
11
Khiry Shelton ↓ Andrew Brody 86'
- 9
- 18
- 4
- 1
- 93
- 16
- 15
Bench
-
26
Erik Thommy ↑ 73'
- 14
-
3
Andrew Brody ↑ 86'
- 8
- 13
-
22
Zorhan Bassong ↑ 66'
-
30
Stephen Afrira ↑ 86'
- 36
- 2
Coach
Kerry Zavagnin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Gianluca Busio | 1 |
| Darren Mattocks | 1 |
| Roger Espinoza | 1 |
| Zorhan Bassong | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Sporting Kansas City Form
2025-04-26
FC Cincinnati
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-04-20
San Jose Earthquakes
3–5
Sporting Kansas City
W
2025-04-13
Sporting Kansas City
2–4
Portland Timbers
L
2025-04-06
Sporting Kansas City
2–0
St. Louis City
W
2025-03-30
FC Dallas
2–1
Sporting Kansas City
L
2025-03-23
Sporting Kansas City
0–2
Los Angeles FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.51
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Sporting Kansas City xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
79%
Draw or Sporting Kansas City
41%
FC Cincinnati or Sporting Kansas City
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Sporting Kansas City covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Sporting Kansas City keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

