Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Nashville SC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 90' Pavel Bucha

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Geodis Park.

Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC 2023-03-26 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
23 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
16 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	3–1	W
09 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	New England Revolution	H	0–0	D

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nashville SC		FC Cincinnati
#1	Position	#6
40	Points	26
18	Played	18
12 / 4 / 2	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
35	Scored	45
14	Conceded	44
+21	GD	+1
2.22	PPG	1.44
67%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

5/1

61-75

5/3

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	10 G
Hany Mukhtar	6 G	4 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Geodis Park as Nashville SC face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' Patrick Yazbek needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
15' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Josh Bauer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 287 appearances.
25' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Miles Robinson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nashville SC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Bauer makes it 1-0.
43' Evander has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
46' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Nick Hagglund by Kevin Denkey on 46 minute.
51' Luca Orellano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' Daniel Lovitz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
59' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Obinna Nwobodo has done his job and it is now time for Brian Anunga to step up.
64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brian Anunga, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
67' Jacob Shaffelburg is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alex Muyl at the 67 minute mark.
70' The supporters are chanting for Brad Smith. He replaces Sergio Santos on 70 minute.
75' Alex Muyl is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
79' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Miles Robinson is withdrawn and Corey Baird gets his opportunity.
80' Alvas Powell is ready to make an impact after coming on for DeAndre Yedlin at the 80 minute mark.
81' The Nashville SC bench stirs into life. Patrick Yazbek is withdrawn and Gaston Brugman gets his opportunity.
86' DeAndre Yedlin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
90' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 90.
90' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teal Bunbury is hanging Daniel Lovitz on the field on 90 minute.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Cincinnati take all three points.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach B.J. Callaghan

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 79'
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 80'
14
Brad Smith ↑ 70'
9
Kevin Denkey ↑ 46'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 59'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Randall Leal	4
Charles Sapong	4
Brandon Vazquez	4
Sam Surridge	3
Luciano Acosta	3
Evander	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Walker Zimmerman	2

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-23 Nashville SC 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-03-16 Philadelphia Union 1–3 Nashville SC W 2025-03-09 Nashville SC 2–0 Portland Timbers W 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.53 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC56% Draw22% FC Cincinnati22%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

79%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

44%

Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC48% Draw37% FC Cincinnati15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 0

7.9%

3 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

6.4%

1 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.3%

4 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

4.4%

1 – 2

Actual

4 – 0

0 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	19%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	21%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.