Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Nashville SC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 90' Pavel Bucha

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Geodis Park.

Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 12 games · Avg 3.4 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC 2023-03-26 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
23 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
16 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	3–1	W
09 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	New England Revolution	H	0–0	D

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nashville SC		FC Cincinnati
#1	Position	#8
77	Points	46
34	Played	34
23 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
71	Scored	67
25	Conceded	75
+46	GD	-8
2.26	PPG	1.35
68%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

4/1

16-30

10/3

31-45

6/4

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/7

76+

16/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	21 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	16 G	8 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Geodis Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati.
5' Nick Hagglund needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
10' Brad Smith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nashville SC winning 100% of all matches.
20' Brian Anunga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ahmed Qasem suffering a number of foals already.
35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
39' Magnificent from Josh Bauer! That is 2 goals in 303 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
43' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 43 puts his side firmly in control.
46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Denkey is hanging Nick Hagglund on the field on 46 minute.
51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
59' The supporters are chanting for Brian Anunga. He replaces Obinna Nwobodo on 59 minute.
64' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
67' Alex Muyl makes way for Jacob Shaffelburg at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
70' Brad Smith gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Sergio Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack Maher, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
79' The supporters are chanting for Corey Baird. He replaces Miles Robinson on 79 minute.
80' The supporters are chanting for Alvas Powell. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin on 80 minute.
81' The whistle greets Patrick Yazbek as he departs to be replaced by Gaston Brugman.
86' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pavel Bucha on 90.
90' Teal Bunbury is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Lovitz at the 90 minute mark.
1-2 the final result. Nashville SC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach B.J. Callaghan

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 79'
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 80'
14
Brad Smith ↑ 70'
9
Kevin Denkey ↑ 46'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 59'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sam Surridge	6
Randall Leal	4
Charles Sapong	4
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Brenner	2
Brenner da Silva	2
Evander	2

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-23 Nashville SC 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-03-16 Philadelphia Union 1–3 Nashville SC W 2025-03-09 Nashville SC 2–0 Portland Timbers W 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.46 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC58% Draw22% FC Cincinnati20%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

80%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

42%

Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC49% Draw37% FC Cincinnati14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

8.5%

3 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

7.3%

1 – 0

7.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

4 – 1

4.6%

4 – 0

4.5%

0 – 0

4.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

1 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	20%	54%
-1.5	46%	—	54%
-1	46%	21%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.