Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Nashville SC

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 90' Pavel Bucha

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Geodis Park.

Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Nashville SC 11 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC 2023-07-15 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Nashville SC 2023-03-26 Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Nashville SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
23 Mar	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
16 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	3–1	W
09 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
23 Feb	New England Revolution	H	0–0	D

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D
15 Mar	Charlotte FC	A	0–2	L
09 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–0	W
02 Mar	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
23 Feb	New York Red Bulls	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Nashville SC		FC Cincinnati
#1	Position	#9
60	Points	33
27	Played	26
18 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
55	Scored	55
21	Conceded	64
+34	GD	-9
2.22	PPG	1.27
67%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC

0-15

3/1

16-30

7/3

31-45

5/2

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/6

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC

Sam Surridge	16 G	1 A
Hany Mukhtar	13 G	6 A
Warren Madrigal	5 G	2 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Geodis Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Roman Celentano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
25' Brad Smith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
30' Nashville SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
39' Josh Bauer doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
43' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 43 puts his side firmly in control.
46' The crowd applauds Nick Hagglund as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Denkey steps in for FC Cincinnati.
51' It’s high time B.J. Callaghan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
59' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Obinna Nwobodo exits the field as Brian Anunga enters on 59.
64' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
67' Nashville SC make a change. Alex Muyl trudges off to be replaced by Jacob Shaffelburg on 67 minutes.
70' Brad Smith is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergio Santos at the 70 minute mark.
75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
79' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Miles Robinson by Corey Baird on 79 minute.
80' The whistle greets DeAndre Yedlin as he departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
81' Patrick Yazbek makes way for Gaston Brugman at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nashville SC.
86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
90' The referee calls foul for Pavel Bucha. He receives a card.
90' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Daniel Lovitz exits the field as Teal Bunbury enters on 90.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach B.J. Callaghan

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 79'
13
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 80'
14
Brad Smith ↑ 70'
9
Kevin Denkey ↑ 46'
27
Brian Anunga ↑ 59'
37
Stiven Jimenez
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brandon Vazquez	4
Sam Surridge	4
Randall Leal	4
Charles Sapong	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Brenner da Silva	2
Evander	2
Walker Zimmerman	2

Head to Head

Nashville SC Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-23 Nashville SC 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2025-03-16 Philadelphia Union 1–3 Nashville SC W 2025-03-09 Nashville SC 2–0 Portland Timbers W 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC L 2025-02-23 Nashville SC 0–0 New England Revolution D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-30 Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-03-22 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D 2025-03-15 Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC W 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.62 Nashville SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC58% Draw22% FC Cincinnati20%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw

80%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

42%

Nashville SC or FC Cincinnati

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nashville SC51% Draw36% FC Cincinnati13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

8.5%

1 – 1

7.8%

3 – 1

7.7%

3 – 0

7.1%

1 – 0

6.1%

4 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.8%

4 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap	Nashville SC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	20%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	21%	31%
-0.5	69%	—	31%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.