New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

New York City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Wed 31 May 2023 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium 14,806 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 38' Luciano Acosta

0–2 58' Alvaro Barreal

Braian Cufre 64' 1–2

1–3 70' Brandon Vazquez pen

Braian Cufre 41' Y

Y 43' Yerson Mosquera

Y 45' Brandon Vazquez

Y 50' Luciano Acosta

Maxime Chanot 53' Y

James Sands 56' Y

Tayvon Gray 57' Y

Gabriel Pereira 65' Y

Tony Alfaro 82' Y

Alfredo Morales 88' Y

Y 90' Ray Gaddis

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	27	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	St. Louis City	27	47
18	FC Dallas	27	47
19	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Seattle Sounders FC	27	38
23	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-08 New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-06-29 FC Cincinnati 4–4 New York City FC 2021-09-18 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York City FC 2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 May	FC Cincinnati	H	1–3	L
27 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–3	L
17 May	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
13 May	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
06 May	Charlotte FC	A	2–3	L
29 Apr	Toronto FC	A	0–1	L

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 May	New York City FC	A	3–1	W
28 May	Colorado Rapids SC	A	1–0	W
20 May	Columbus Crew SC	H	3–2	W
17 May	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
06 May	D.C. United SC	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	New England Revolution	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York City FC		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#9
33	Points	33
27	Played	26
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
41	Scored	55
36	Conceded	64
+5	GD	-9
1.22	PPG	1.27
30%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York City FC and FC Cincinnati has kicked off!
5' New York City FC are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's 3-4-1-2 shape.
10' Roman Celentano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Freese, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
38' Luciano Acosta adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Braian Cufre on 41.
43' Poor challenge from Yerson Mosquera. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Brandon Vazquez is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 45.
50' A moment of madness from Luciano Acosta on 50 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
53' Maxime Chanot was booked on 53.
56' New York City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 56.
57' New York City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
58' Alvaro Barreal does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
60' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Alfredo Morales on, Tayvon Gray off on 60 minutes.
64' Braian Cufre has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
65' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Gabriel Pereira.
70' The deadlock is broken! Brandon Vazquez gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
72' The whistle greets Yuya Kubo as he departs to be replaced by Marco Angulo.
74' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Gabe Segal departs to be replaced by Richie Ledezma.
77' The whistle greets Luciano Acosta as he departs to be replaced by Malik Pinto.
82' That is a Yellow card for New York City FC. Tony Alfaro will be fuming at that decision.
85' Tony Alfaro makes way for Kevin O'Toole at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
87' Arquimides Ordonez gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Alvaro Barreal and will look to change the dynamic.
88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Alfredo Morales.
90' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Ray Gaddis gets a Yellow card.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Cincinnati players.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

2
Alvas Powell ↑ 72'
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 87'
1
Alec Kann
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 72'
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 77'
33
Isaiah Foster
3
Joey Akpunonu

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Jesus Medina	3
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati L 2023-05-27 New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union L 2023-05-17 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2023-05-13 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC L 2023-05-06 Charlotte FC 3–2 New York City FC L 2023-04-29 Toronto FC 1–0 New York City FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati W 2023-05-28 Colorado Rapids SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2023-05-20 FC Cincinnati 3–2 Columbus Crew SC W 2023-05-17 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-05-06 FC Cincinnati 2–1 D.C. United SC W 2023-04-29 New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.12 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: New York City FC or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC38% Draw23% FC Cincinnati39%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

62%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

62%

New York City FC or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC33% Draw37% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.8%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.9%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	12%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.