New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–3 | L |
| 17 May | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Charlotte FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | New York City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | D.C. United SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | New England Revolution | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 31 | Scored | 45 |
| 24 | Conceded | 44 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' James Sands, a USA defensive midfielder, has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brandon Vazquez suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Luciano Acosta adds to his 0 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Braian Cufre on 41.
- 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yerson Mosquera.
- 45' Brandon Vazquez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 50' The referee calls foul for Luciano Acosta. He receives a Yellow card.
- 53' The referee has no hesitation. Maxime Chanot is booked for New York City FC — Yellow card on 53.
- 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for James Sands.
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tayvon Gray on 57.
- 58' What a strike from Alvaro Barreal! The score is 0-2.
- 60' Alfredo Morales gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Tayvon Gray and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Goal! Braian Cufre scores his 2 goal in 289 matches.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Pereira on 65 minutes.
- 70' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brandon Vazquez makes it 1-3.
- 72' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Yuya Kubo departs to be replaced by Marco Angulo.
- 74' The crowd applauds Gabe Segal as he leaves the pitch. Richie Ledezma steps in for New York City FC.
- 77' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Luciano Acosta exits the field as Malik Pinto enters on 77.
- 82' A moment of madness from Tony Alfaro on 82 minutes earns him a Yellow card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
- 85' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Tony Alfaro by Kevin O'Toole on 85 minute.
- 87' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arquimides Ordonez is hanging Alvaro Barreal on the field on 87 minute.
- 88' Alfredo Morales is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' Ray Gaddis is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- New York City FC will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 55
- 49
-
24
Tayvon Gray ↓ Alfredo Morales 60'
- 11
-
93
Tony Alfaro ↓ Kevin O'Toole 85'
- 10
- 34
-
19
Gabriel Segal ↓ Richie Ledezma 74'
- 3
Bench
-
7
Alfredo Morales ↑ 60'
- 1
- 80
- 21
-
22
Kevin O'Toole ↑ 85'
- 33
- 17
-
20
Richie Ledezma ↑ 74'
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 21
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Marco Angulo 72'
- 13
-
10
Luciano Acosta ↓ Malik Pinto 77'
- 93
- 19
- 31
-
15
Yerson Mosquera ↓ Alvas Powell 72'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Dom Badji ↓ Ray Gaddis 87'
Bench
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 72'
-
28
Ray Gaddis ↑ 87'
- 1
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 72'
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 77'
- 33
- 3
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.29
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
61%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

