FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | New York City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Portland Timbers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Mar | St. Louis City | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Feb | Charlotte FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #8 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 64 | Conceded | 36 |
| -9 | GD | +5 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.22 |
| 31% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York City FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. New York City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luciano Acosta.
- 25' Uruguay international Santiago Rodriguez has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' New York City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Yuya Kubo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Andres Perea is booked for New York City FC — card on 45.
- 50' New York City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 52' New York City FC ring the changes. Birk Risa has done his job and it is now time for Justin Haak to step up.
- 57' What a moment for Luciano Acosta! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' Luca Orellano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 67' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Hannes Wolf exits the field as Alonso Martinez enters on 67.
- 72' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 73' Nick Hagglund has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kipp Keller on 73 minute.
- 78' Agustin Ojeda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin O'Toole at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' Sergio Santos gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Corey Baird and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' New York City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Luca Orellano is withdrawn and Malik Pinto gets his opportunity.
- 90' FC Cincinnati make a change. Aaron Boupendza trudges off to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela on 90 minutes.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York City FC.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
- 21
- 9
- 7
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Sergio Santos 82'
- 10
- 20
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Malik Pinto 88'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Nick Hagglund 73'
Bench
- 36
- 2
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↑ 73'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 82'
- 29
- 15
-
26
Malik Pinto ↑ 88'
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
Coach
Pat Noonan
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
17
Hannes Wolf ↓ Alonso Martinez 67'
- 13
- 6
- 49
- 8
-
5
Birk Risa ↓ Justin Haak 52'
- 21
- 10
-
22
Kevin O'Toole ↓ Agustin Ojeda 78'
- 11
Bench
- 1
-
80
Justin Haak ↑ 52'
- 29
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 78'
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↑ 67'
-
88
Malachi Jones ↑ 67'
Coach
Nick Cushing
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
75%
Draw or New York City FC
49%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

