FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

1 – 0

Full Time

New York City FC

Sat 23 Mar 2024 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Luciano Acosta 20' Y

Y 45' Andres Perea

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 4.0 goals New York City FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC 2023-08-26 FC Cincinnati 3–0 New York City FC 2023-05-31 New York City FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati 2022-09-08 New York City FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2022-06-29 FC Cincinnati 4–4 New York City FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Mar	New York City FC	H	1–0	W
17 Mar	New England Revolution	A	2–1	W
10 Mar	D.C. United SC	H	0–0	D
03 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	2–1	W
25 Feb	Toronto FC	H	0–0	D
21 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	2–2	D

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Mar	FC Cincinnati	A	0–1	L
16 Mar	Toronto FC	H	2–1	W
09 Mar	Portland Timbers	H	1–2	L
03 Mar	St. Louis City	A	0–2	L
25 Feb	Charlotte FC	A	0–1	L
21 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		New York City FC
#7	Position	#8
20	Points	19
15	Played	15
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 4 / 6
36	Scored	25
37	Conceded	21
-1	GD	+4
1.33	PPG	1.27
33%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York City FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — let the football do the talking.
5' The 31-year-old Thiago Martins has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
20' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Luciano Acosta gets a card.
25' Kevin O'Toole is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
40' Agustin Ojeda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Andres Perea is booked for New York City FC — card on 45.
50' Argentina international Luciano Acosta has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
52' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Birk Risa exits the field as Justin Haak enters on 52.
57' Assisted by Corey Baird with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano Acosta makes no mistake. 1-0!
62' New York City FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nicolas Fernandez Marcau scoring 2 goals.
67' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Alonso Martinez comes on to replace Hannes Wolf.
72' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined New York City FC backline.
73' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Nick Hagglund comes on to replace Kipp Keller.
78' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Kevin O'Toole exits the field as Agustin Ojeda enters on 78.
82' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Sergio Santos on, Corey Baird off on 82 minutes.
87' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
88' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Luca Orellano exits the field as Malik Pinto enters on 88.
90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Aaron Boupendza.
The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
21
Matt Miazga
9
Aaron Boupendza ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 90'
7
Yuya Kubo
11
Corey Baird ↓ Sergio Santos 82'
10
Luciano Acosta
20
Pavel Bucha
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Malik Pinto 88'
32
Ian Murphy
18
Roman Celentano
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Nick Hagglund 73'

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Luis Barraza
80
Justin Haak ↑ 52'
29
Maximo Carrizo
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 78'
16
Alonso Martinez ↑ 67'
88
Malachi Jones ↑ 67'

Coach Nick Cushing

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Jesus Medina	3
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	2

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC W 2024-03-17 New England Revolution 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-03-10 FC Cincinnati 0–0 D.C. United SC D 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-02-25 FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC D 2023-10-21 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC D

New York City FC Form

2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC L 2024-03-16 New York City FC 2–1 Toronto FC W 2024-03-09 New York City FC 1–2 Portland Timbers L 2024-03-03 St. Louis City 2–0 New York City FC L 2024-02-25 Charlotte FC 1–0 New York City FC L 2023-10-21 New York City FC 1–0 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.97 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 New York City FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati53% Draw23% New York City FC24%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.46

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

75%

Draw or New York City FC

47%

FC Cincinnati or New York City FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati36% Draw41% New York City FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.7%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3 – 0

3.9%

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	New York City FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.