Thursday , 15 October 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC St James' Park

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–4 L
19 Sep Hull City AFC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–4 L
05 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 2–2 D
29 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Liverpool FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Oct Fenerbahce SK H 6–0 W
10 Oct Brentford FC H 2–2 D
19 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
12 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
08 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–2 W
05 Sep Hull City AFC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Aston Villa FC
#11 Position #16
8 Points 5
6 Played 6
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 3
10 Scored 6
13 Conceded 11
-3 GD -5
1.33 PPG 0.83
33% Win % 17%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 11th (8 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 2 G

H2H

Predictions

2.03 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

Newcastle United FC46% Draw24% Aston Villa FC30%

Both Teams to Score

Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.62

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
54%
Newcastle United FC or Aston Villa FC
76%

Half-Time Result

Newcastle United FC36% Draw40% Aston Villa FC24%

Correct Score

1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.