Friday , 23 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC Villa Park

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Viking FK H 3–1 W
17 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–0 W
14 Oct Fenerbahce SK H 6–0 W
10 Oct Brentford FC H 2–2 D
19 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–2 W
12 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Oct PAE AEK H 5–1 W
17 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 3–2 W
14 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–4 L
11 Oct Liverpool FC A 3–0 W
20 Sep Sunderland AFC H 5–3 W
13 Sep Manchester United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#12 Position #1
8 Points 21
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 0
7 Scored 19
11 Conceded 7
-4 GD +12
1.14 PPG 3.00
29% Win % 100%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 12th (8 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
3/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Johan Manzambi 2 G 2 A
Nicolas Jackson 2 G
Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 8 G
Rayan Cherki 4 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 3 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.19 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

Aston Villa FC28% Draw22% Manchester City FC50%

Both Teams to Score

Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.45

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Manchester City FC
72%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

Aston Villa FC17% Draw39% Manchester City FC44%

Correct Score

1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 21% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 18% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
11%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.