Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Aston Villa FC H 3–1 W
04 Mar Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
23 Feb Everton FC A 1–0 W
10 Feb West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester United FC are 10th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.41 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC53% Draw34% Aston Villa FC13%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
47%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC28% Draw63% Aston Villa FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.5%
1 – 0
23.2%
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 29% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
67%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.