Saturday , 14 November 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
9 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Aston Villa FC H 3–1 W
04 Mar Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
23 Feb Everton FC A 1–0 W
10 Feb West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#18 Position #10
8 Points 13
10 Played 10
1 / 5 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
14 Scored 14
19 Conceded 17
-5 GD -3
0.80 PPG 1.30
10% Win % 30%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Manchester United FC are 18th (8 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/5
61-75
3/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 4 G 2 A
Bryan Mbeumo 4 G
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.99 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC55% Draw23% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
45%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC38% Draw41% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.