Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
19 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 8.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Aston Villa FC H 3–1 W
04 Mar Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
01 Mar Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
23 Feb Everton FC A 1–0 W
10 Feb West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W
04 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
27 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester United FC are 10th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Manchester United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Aston Villa FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.41 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC53% Draw34% Aston Villa FC13%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
47%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC28% Draw63% Aston Villa FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.5%
1 – 0
23.2%
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 29% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 11% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
67%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.