Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–3 W
30 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 4–4 D
08 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 4–1 W
04 Dec West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
24 Nov Everton FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester United FC
#16 Position #12
4 Points 5
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 2
4 Scored 8
9 Conceded 8
-5 GD +0
0.80 PPG 1.00
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester United FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester United FC
Bruno Fernandes 3 G 1 A
Bryan Mbeumo 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Manchester United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC 75% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw25% Manchester United FC40%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Manchester United FC
65%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC21% Draw44% Manchester United FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.