Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 15:00 UTC Old Trafford 73,839 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amad Diallo 76' 1–0
Christian Eriksen pen 86' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Old Trafford.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Aston Villa FC H 2–0 W
21 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
16 May Chelsea FC A 0–1 L
11 May West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
08 May Athletic Club H 4–1 W
04 May Brentford FC A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Manchester United FC A 0–2 L
16 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–0 W
10 May AFC Bournemouth A 1–0 W
03 May Fulham FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Crystal Palace FC A 0–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester United FC Aston Villa FC
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester United FC are 10th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.89 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.32 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC49% Draw36% Aston Villa FC15%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
51%
Manchester United FC or Aston Villa FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC27% Draw67% Aston Villa FC6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.2%
1 – 0
25%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
1.4%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 2
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 30% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 9% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
72%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.