Thursday , 8 October 2026

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Estadio La Rosaleda 23,754 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 59' Juan Ferney Otero
Chupete 67' 1–1
Chupete 83' 2–1
Dioni 63' Y
Y 77' Pablo Garcia
Chupete 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijón — Segunda Division at Estadio La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Saul Ais Reig (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Ruben Campo Hernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 David Canton (Spain)

Head-to-Head

4
Malaga CF 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Real Sporting de Gijon

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
11 May CD Eldense A 0–1 L
03 May Granada CF H 1–0 W
27 Apr CD Castellon H 1–0 W
21 Apr SD Eibar A 2–2 D
14 Apr SD Huesca A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Malaga CF A 1–2 L
10 May RC Deportivo La Coruna H 2–1 W
05 May CD Castellon A 3–4 L
25 Apr Cadiz CF A 0–1 L
18 Apr CD Mirandés H 3–1 W
13 Apr CD Eldense A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Real Sporting de Gijon this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Sporting de Gijon
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Sporting de Gijon
Antonio Casas 3 G
Juan Ferney Otero 1 G
Alejo Sarco 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio La Rosaleda. Málaga CF are looking to make home advantage count against Real Sporting de Gijon.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Málaga CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Sporting de Gijon backline.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Guille Rosas, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio La Rosaleda with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Real Sporting de Gijon is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Málaga CF and Real Sporting de Gijon are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Rober Pier has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' Real Sporting de Gijon is showing some good football. However, Real Sporting de Gijon are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' Real Sporting de Gijon fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Juan Ferney Otero makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 61' Another change for Malaga CF made on 61 minute. Julen Lobete leaves to be changed by Manu Molina.
  • 63' Malaga CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chupete makes it 0-2.
  • 68' The whistle greets Cesar Gelabert Pina as he departs to be replaced by Diego Sanchez.
  • 73' Real Sporting de Gijon started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 74' Real Sporting de Gijon ring the changes. Nico Serrano has done his job and it is now time for Dani Queipo to step up.
  • 77' Real Sporting de Gijon receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 77' Another change for Malaga CF made on 77 minute. Diego Murillo leaves to be changed by Jokin Gabilondo.
  • 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Pastor Carayol made 92 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 83' Chupete has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 83 minutes.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chupete.
  • 88' The Malaga CF manager makes a substitution. David Larrubia departs to be replaced by Rodriguez Ruiz.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Malaga CF player. Alex Pastor Carayol gets a card.
  • The points are shared — Málaga CF 2-1 Real Sporting de Gijon. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.72 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Real Sporting de Gijón xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF54% Draw25% Real Sporting de Gijón21%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Real Sporting de Gijón
46%
Malaga CF or Real Sporting de Gijón
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF37% Draw45% Real Sporting de Gijón18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push Real Sporting de Gijón covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Real Sporting de Gijón keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.