Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lille OSC vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 17:45 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 48,042 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David 5' 1–0
1–1 54' Emre Can pen
1–2 65' Maximilian Beier

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Borussia DortmundChampions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Sandro Scharer
  • Assistant 1 Stephane De Almeida
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Erni
8 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 9.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Lille OSC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Augsburg H 0–1 L
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W
19 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G 3 A
Karim Adeyemi 3 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Lille OSC and Borussia Dortmund is underway.
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan David makes it 1-0.
  • 10' Lille OSC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Lille OSC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 20' Lille OSC is showing some good football. However, Lille OSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Lille OSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 32' The referee has no hesitation. Waldemar Anton is booked for Borussia Dortmund — card on 32.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pascal Gross on 51 minutes.
  • 52' A moment of madness from Thomas Meunier on 52 minutes earns him a card. Lille OSC will be frustrated.
  • 54' Emre Can adds to his 1 season tally! Borussia Dortmund lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 64' Sehrou Guirassy is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Borussia Dortmund tonight.
  • 65' Maximilian Beier makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Borussia Dortmund are in front.
  • 67' Lille OSC ring the changes. Remy Cabella has done his job and it is now time for Chuba Akpom to step up.
  • 72' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ramy Bensebaini is hanging Waldemar Anton on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Lille OSCMatias Fernandez-Pardo on, Ayyoub Bouaddi off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Borussia DortmundJamie Bynoe-Gittens on, Karim Adeyemi off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Ngal'ayel Mukau. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' Lille OSC make a change. Ngal'ayel Mukau trudges off to be replaced by Andre Gomes on 83 minutes.
  • 85' Gio Reyna has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maximilian Beier on 85 minute.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • Lille OSC will have plenty to reflect on. Borussia Dortmund were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC or Borussia Dortmund 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC33% Draw30% Borussia Dortmund37%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
63%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
67%
Lille OSC or Borussia Dortmund
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC23% Draw49% Borussia Dortmund28%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 18% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 21% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.