Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille OSC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Tue 4 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Karim Adeyemi 22' 1–0
1–1 68' Hakon Haraldsson
Emre Can 61' Y
Pascal Gross 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Lille OSCChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Borussia Dortmund 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Lille OSC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W
19 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–0 D
15 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–2 L
11 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
08 Feb Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
01 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 4–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Signal Iduna Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ethan Mbappe made 520 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
  • 22' Karim Adeyemi puts Borussia Dortmund on the lead.
  • 27' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre Gomes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 47' It’s high time Bruno Génésio made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 52' Hakon Haraldsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Emre Can was booked on 61.
  • 66' Maximilian Beier has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 66 minute.
  • 68' What a strike from Hakon Haraldsson! The score is 1-1.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Lille OSC team. Ethan Mbappe is replaced by Matias Fernandez-Pardo on 71 minute.
  • 76' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 77' Mitchel Bakker is replacing Ismaily for the Lille OSC side.
  • 82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' The whistle greets Julian Ryerson as he departs to be replaced by Yan Couto.
  • 88' Alexsandro Ribeiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 90' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund47% Draw28% Lille OSC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
75%
Draw or Lille OSC
53%
Borussia Dortmund or Lille OSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund33% Draw48% Lille OSC19%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.