Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 42,467 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
08 Feb Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Lille OSC and Montpellier HSC.
  • 5' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 9' That is a card for Lille OSC. Alexsandro Ribeiro will be fuming at that decision.
  • 14' Lille OSC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Montpellier HSC's 5-4-1 shape.
  • 19' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lille OSC and Montpellier HSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ayyoub Bouaddi, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Pierre-Mauroy with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wilfried Bille suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' The referee calls foul for Rabby Nzingoula. He receives a card.
  • 41' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Another change for Lille OSC made on 46 minute. Mitchel Bakker leaves to be changed by Ismaily.
  • 50' Assisted by Ismaily with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan David makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 55' Montpellier HSC have won 379 goals from 417 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 65' Tanguy Coulibaly needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 67' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Thomas Meunier departs to be replaced by Aissa Mandi.
  • 68' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Yael Mouanga by Othmane Maamma on 68 minute.
  • 71' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Sainte-Luce is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 71.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Rabby Nzingoula as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Pays steps in for Montpellier HSC.
  • 76' Montpellier HSC make a change. Tanguy Coulibaly trudges off to be replaced by Wahbi Khazri on 76 minutes.
  • 78' Boubacar Kouyate is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 84' It’s gonna be a card for Bafode Diakite.
  • 86' Falaye Sacko makes way for Wilfried Bille at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • Another three points for Lille OSC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC54% Draw28% Montpellier HSC18%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
46%
Lille OSC or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC33% Draw52% Montpellier HSC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
47%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.