Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 18:00 UTC Stade Pierre-Mauroy 42,467 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David 50' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
01 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–4 L
22 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
16 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
08 Feb Le Havre AC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Lille OSC and Montpellier HSC has kicked off!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 9' The referee shows Lille OSC player a card on 9.
  • 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Chevalier made 466 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wilfried Bille suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lille OSC that had 466 games and scored 483 goals.
  • 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Rabby Nzingoula.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Ismaily has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mitchel Bakker on 46 minute.
  • 50' Goal! Jonathan David scores his 155 goal in 299 matches.
  • 55' Montpellier HSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Aissa Mandi. He replaces Thomas Meunier on 67 minute.
  • 68' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 68 minute. Yael Mouanga leaves to be changed by Othmane Maamma.
  • 71' Theo Sainte-Luce is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Rabby Nzingoula is replaced by Nicolas Pays on 75 minute.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Montpellier HSC team. Tanguy Coulibaly is replaced by Wahbi Khazri on 76 minute.
  • 78' Boubacar Kouyate is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' The referee shows Lille OSC player a card on 84.
  • 86' Wilfried Bille is replacing Falaye Sacko for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC54% Draw28% Montpellier HSC18%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
82%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
46%
Lille OSC or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC33% Draw52% Montpellier HSC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
47%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.