Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–1 D
07 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
27 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–2 L
21 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
14 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
08 Feb RB Leipzig H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Koln
#16 Position #13
3 Points 4
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 2
2 Scored 6
13 Conceded 9
-11 GD -3
0.75 PPG 1.00
25% Win % 25%

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). 1. FC Koln are 13th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Koln
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Koln
Thijs Dallinga 2 G
Said El Mala 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV30% Draw25% 1. FC Koln45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
55%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
70%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Koln
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV17% Draw44% 1. FC Koln39%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 3
3.1%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.