Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
3 – 2
Full Time
1. FC Union Berlin
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Union Berlin
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
1. FC Union Berlin
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
31 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
24 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
15 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Union Berlin
#13 Position #11
38 Points 39
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
40 Scored 44
54 Conceded 58
-14 GD -14
1.12 PPG 1.15
26% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV50% Draw25% 1. FC Union Berlin25%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
50%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Union Berlin
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV34% Draw44% 1. FC Union Berlin22%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.