Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Hamburger SV

3 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Union Berlin

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FC Union Berlin 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Badstubner

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Union Berlin

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–2	W
07 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W
31 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	2–2	D
23 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	0–0	D
17 Jan	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–0	D
10 Jan	SC Freiburg	A	1–2	L

1. FC Union Berlin

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Hamburger SV	A	2–3	L
06 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
31 Jan	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–3	L
24 Jan	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–3	L
18 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–1	D
15 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Hamburger SV		1. FC Union Berlin
#19	Position	#17
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Hamburger SV face off against 1. FC Union Berlin in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
The points are shared — Hamburger SV 3-2 1. FC Union Berlin. Honours even.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.97 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.66 1. FC Union Berlin xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 77% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hamburger SV46% Draw33% 1. FC Union Berlin21%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 1.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	78%	22%
± 1.5	49%	51%
± 2.5	23%	77%
± 3.5	9%	91%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

79%

Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin

54%

Hamburger SV or 1. FC Union Berlin

67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hamburger SV25% Draw60% 1. FC Union Berlin15%

Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

22.1%

1 – 0

17.5%

1 – 1

13.5%

0 – 1

11.3%

2 – 0

8.7%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

2.8%

2 – 2

2.2%

3 – 1

2.1%

1 – 3

0.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	11%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	24%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	16%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

52% ✗

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.