Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
3 – 2
Full Time
1. FC Union Berlin
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Union Berlin
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
1. FC Union Berlin
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
31 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
24 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
15 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hamburger SV 1. FC Union Berlin
#16 Position #17
3 Points 1
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 0 / 1 / 3
2 Scored 4
13 Conceded 17
-11 GD -13
0.75 PPG 0.25
25% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV46% Draw25% 1. FC Union Berlin29%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
54%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Union Berlin
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV30% Draw44% 1. FC Union Berlin26%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.