Tuesday , 18 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
21 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 5–0 W
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
22 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
08 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–0 W
04 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
30 Nov Hannover 96 H 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Hamburger SV gets underway.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 6' Jusuf Gazibegovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 6.
  • 11' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 13' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Immanuel Pherai on 13 minutes.
  • 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' William Mikelbrencis needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' A change in the 1. FC Koln ranks — Leart Paqarada exits the field as Max Finkgrafe enters on 46.
  • 51' 1. FC Köln are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gian-Luca Waldschmidt on 55 minutes.
  • 56' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emir Sahiti is hanging Bakery Jatta on the field on 56 minute.
  • 58' Another substitution for 1. FC Koln to replace Jusuf Gazibegovic by Jan Thielmann on 58 minute.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Timo Hubers made 291 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Damion Downs as he leaves the pitch. Steffen Tigges steps in for 1. FC Koln.
  • 72' Hamburger SV make a change. Adam Karabec trudges off to be replaced by Lukasz Poreba on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Timo Hubers catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 76' A tactical swap from 1. FC Koln — Marvin Obuz on, Denis Huseinbasic off on 76 minutes.
  • 77' It’s gonna be a card for Max Finkgrafe.
  • 78' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ransford Konigsdorffer makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' Hamburger SV receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Jean-Luc Dompe is replaced by Silvan Hefti on 84 minute.
  • 89' Hamburger SV currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. William Mikelbrencis gets a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Hamburger SV 1-0 1. FC Köln.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV51% Draw28% 1. FC Koln21%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
49%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Koln
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV33% Draw50% 1. FC Koln17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
41%
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.