Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
21 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 5–0 W
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
22 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
08 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–0 W
04 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
30 Nov Hannover 96 H 2–2 D

Key Stats

86% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln is underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Köln needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 6' The referee shows 1. FC Koln player a card on 6.
  • 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marvin Schwabe made 17 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 13' The referee calls foul for Immanuel Pherai. He receives a card.
  • 18' Max Finkgrafe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 23' Hamburger SV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' Marvin Obuz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Immanuel Pherai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' 1. FC Koln manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Finkgrafe is hanging Leart Paqarada on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Hamburger SV winning 100% of all matches.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Gian-Luca Waldschmidt. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 56' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Emir Sahiti on, Bakery Jatta off on 56 minutes.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Jusuf Gazibegovic as he leaves the pitch. Jan Thielmann steps in for 1. FC Koln.
  • 63' Florian Kainz, a Austria attacking midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' Steffen Tigges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damion Downs at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Adam Karabec as he leaves the pitch. Lukasz Poreba steps in for Hamburger SV.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Timo Hubers.
  • 76' Fresh legs for 1. FC Koln! Marvin Obuz comes on to replace Denis Huseinbasic.
  • 77' The referee shows 1. FC Koln player a card on 77.
  • 78' Against the run of play, Ransford Konigsdorffer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel Elfadli.
  • 84' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Silvan Hefti is hanging Jean-Luc Dompe on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' William Mikelbrencis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Hamburger SV and 1. FC Köln (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV51% Draw28% 1. FC Koln21%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
49%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Koln
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV33% Draw50% 1. FC Koln17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.