Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
21 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 5–0 W
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W
23 Nov FC Schalke 04 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
22 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
08 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–0 W
04 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
30 Nov Hannover 96 H 2–2 D

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Koln — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 6' It’s gonna be a card for Jusuf Gazibegovic.
  • 11' 1. FC Koln started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
  • 13' A meaty challenge results in booking for Immanuel Pherai on 13.
  • 18' 1. FC Koln have won 346 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' 1. FC Koln is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 43' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' Max Finkgrafe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leart Paqarada on 46 minute.
  • 51' Miro Muheim is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FC Koln so far.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Gian-Luca Waldschmidt is booked for 1. FC Koln — card on 55.
  • 56' Emir Sahiti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bakery Jatta at the 56 minute mark.
  • 58' Jan Thielmann is replacing Jusuf Gazibegovic for the 1. FC Koln side.
  • 63' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' Steffen Tigges is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damion Downs at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Adam Karabec is replaced by Lukasz Poreba.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Timo Hubers on 73.
  • 76' 1. FC Koln ring the changes. Denis Huseinbasic has done his job and it is now time for Marvin Obuz to step up.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Max Finkgrafe on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Ransford Konigsdorffer puts Hamburger SV on the lead.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniel Elfadli.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Jean-Luc Dompe is replaced by Silvan Hefti.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at Volksparkstadion. 1. FC Koln seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' William Mikelbrencis is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Hamburger SV celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV51% Draw28% 1. FC Koln21%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
49%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Koln
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV33% Draw50% 1. FC Koln17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
41%
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.