Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Koln vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
27 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–2 L
21 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
14 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
08 Feb RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
30 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
28 Feb FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

1. FC Koln Borussia Dortmund
#14 Position #2
32 Points 73
34 Played 34
7 / 11 / 16 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
49 Scored 70
63 Conceded 34
-14 GD +36
0.94 PPG 2.15
21% Win % 65%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
3/6
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.15 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln21% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund56%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
44%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
79%
1. FC Koln or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln16% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 3
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
0 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 39%
+1.5 61% 39%
+2 61% 18% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
12%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.