Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
VfL Wolfsburg
1 – 2
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

6
2
VfL Wolfsburg 8 games · Avg 3.3 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV 2017-05-20 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Hamburger SV H 1–2 L
01 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 0–4 L
21 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–3 L
15 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
07 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
30 Jan 1. FC Köln A 0–1 L
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV 2017-05-20 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Hamburger SV

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV L 2026-03-01 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2026-02-21 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg L 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-01-30 1. FC Köln 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Hamburger SV 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg41% Draw28% Hamburger SV31%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
69%
Draw or Hamburger SV
59%
VfL Wolfsburg or Hamburger SV
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg31% Draw45% Hamburger SV24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.