VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 2

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner

17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 8 games · Avg 3.3 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV 2025-10-25 Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2018-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–4 VfL Wolfsburg 2017-10-14 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 Hamburger SV 2017-05-20 VfL Wolfsburg 4–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Hamburger SV	H	1–2	L
01 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–4	L
21 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–3	L
15 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
07 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	1. FC Koln	A	0–1	L

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
04 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
01 Mar	RB Leipzig	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–2	W
07 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		Hamburger SV
#16	Position	#13
29	Points	38
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	9 / 11 / 14
45	Scored	40
69	Conceded	54
-24	GD	-14
0.85	PPG	1.12
21%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Hamburger SV

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/4

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/–

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. VfL Wolfsburg is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
Full Time. Hamburger SV beats VfL Wolfsburg

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV L 2026-03-01 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L 2026-02-21 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg L 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2026-01-30 1. FC Koln 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.68 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or Hamburger SV 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg41% Draw27% Hamburger SV32%

Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

67%

Draw or Hamburger SV

59%

VfL Wolfsburg or Hamburger SV

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfL Wolfsburg31% Draw43% Hamburger SV26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 0

0 – 0

5.9%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	19%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	17%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.