Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#19 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.37 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV19% Draw40% Bayer 04 Leverkusen41%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
59%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
81%
Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
60%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV8% Draw69% Bayer 04 Leverkusen23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.5%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
8.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
2.3%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 1
1.7%
1 – 3
1.1%
2 – 2
0.9%
0 – 4
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 12% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 27% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
46%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
69%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.