Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 15.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#11 Position #5
12 Points 16
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 20
20 Conceded 17
-10 GD +3
1.33 PPG 1.78
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 8 G 2 A
Ibrahim Maza 3 G 3 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — let the football do the talking.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.06 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV21% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen55%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
45%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
79%
Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV15% Draw41% Bayer 04 Leverkusen44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 4
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.