Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Hamburger SV

0 – 1

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Hamburger SV 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2018-01-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Hamburger SV 2017-09-09 Hamburger SV 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2017-02-25 Hamburger SV 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-09-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
01 Mar	RB Leipzig	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	3–2	W
07 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W
31 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	2–2	D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	1–0	W
28 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
24 Feb	PAE Olympiakos SFP	H	0–0	D
21 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–1	L
18 Feb	PAE Olympiakos SFP	A	2–0	W
14 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#13	Position	#6
38	Points	59
34	Played	34
9 / 11 / 14	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
40	Scored	68
54	Conceded	47
-14	GD	+21
1.12	PPG	1.74
26%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/4

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/–

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hamburger SV.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jarell Quansah	1
Fabio Vieira	1

Head to Head

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 PAE Olympiakos SFP D 2026-02-21 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-02-18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-02-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.95 Hamburger SV xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hamburger SV23% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen50%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw

50%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

77%

Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hamburger SV16% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen38%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

10.1%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.9%

0 – 3

5.7%

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

5.4%

2 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap	Hamburger SV covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	24%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	17%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.