Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
0 – 1
Full Time
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

3
5
Hamburger SV 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2018-01-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Hamburger SV 2017-09-09 Hamburger SV 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2017-02-25 Hamburger SV 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-09-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#16 Position #5
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
2 Scored 10
13 Conceded 5
-11 GD +5
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jarell Quansah 1
Fabio Vieira 1

Head to Head

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2018-01-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Hamburger SV 2017-09-09 Hamburger SV 0–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2017-02-25 Hamburger SV 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-09-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 PAE Olympiakos SFP D 2026-02-21 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-02-18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-02-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.56 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.83 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV13% Draw17% Bayer 04 Leverkusen70%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
30%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
87%
Hamburger SV or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV5% Draw33% Bayer 04 Leverkusen62%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
13.7%
0 – 3
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 4
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 3
6.9%
1 – 1
5.8%
0 – 5
5%
1 – 4
5%
0 – 0
4.6%
1 – 5
2.9%
0 – 6
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% — 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% — 96%
+0.5 17% — 83%
+1 17% 19% 63%
+1.5 37% — 63%
+2 37% 22% 41%
+2.5 59% — 41%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
58% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.