Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Raphael Veiga
Damian Bobadilla 22' Y
Y 55' Andreas Pereira
Pablo Maia 64' Y
Y 80' Vitor Roque
Enzo Diaz 80' Y
Y 90' Anibal Moreno
Y 91' Emiliano Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

3
5
12
Sao Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC SE Palmeiras
#12 Position #1
27 Points 48
22 Played 23
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 6 / 3
27 Scored 40
26 Conceded 19
+1 GD +21
1.23 PPG 2.09
32% Win % 61%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Morumbi.
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Raphael Veiga on 11 minutes.
  • 15' What a strike from Luciano! The score is 1-0.
  • 20' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Damian Bobadilla.
  • 27' Robert Arboleda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' GOAL! Gonzalo Tapia fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gustavo Gomez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' Raphael Veiga makes way for Mauricio at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 51' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Joaquin Piquerez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 55.
  • 55' The whistle greets Damian Bobadilla as he departs to be replaced by Alisson.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Maia.
  • 66' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rodrigo Huendra is hanging Marcos Antonio on the field on 66 minute.
  • 70' Vitor Roque is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 74' Goal! Jose Manuel Lopez scores his 30 goal in 163 matches.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andreas Pereira made 409 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 80' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 82' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Gonzalo Tapia is withdrawn and Lucas Moura gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 89' Ramon Sosa makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 90' Anibal Moreno catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Gustavo Gomez 2
Gabriel Sara 2
Vitor Roque 2
Gabriel Menino 2
Dudu 2

Head to Head

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-01 SE Palmeiras 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-09-13 SE Palmeiras 4–1 SC Internacional W 2025-08-31 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–1 SE Palmeiras D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC23% Draw26% SE Palmeiras51%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
49%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
77%
Sao Paulo FC or SE Palmeiras
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC17% Draw46% SE Palmeiras37%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
5.7%
0 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.