Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 11' Raphael Veiga
Damian Bobadilla 22' Y
Y 55' Andreas Pereira
Pablo Maia 64' Y
Y 80' Vitor Roque
Enzo Diaz 80' Y
Y 90' Anibal Moreno
Y 91' Emiliano Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
5
12
Sao Paulo FC 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 3–2 W
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC SE Palmeiras
#8 Position #1
25 Points 41
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
23 Scored 30
20 Conceded 13
+3 GD +17
1.39 PPG 2.28
39% Win % 67%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC are looking to make home advantage count against SE Palmeiras.
  • 5' Brazil international Marcos Antonio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 11' The referee calls foul for Raphael Veiga. He receives a card.
  • 15' Magnificent from Luciano! That is 63 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 22.
  • 27' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mauricio made 250 appearances and scored 24 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' GOAL! Gonzalo Tapia scores on 34. Assisted by Enzo Diaz
  • 39' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Damian Bobadilla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Raphael Veiga by Mauricio on 46 minute.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 55' A moment of madness from Andreas Pereira on 55 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 55' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 55 minute. Damian Bobadilla leaves to be changed by Alisson.
  • 60' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 64' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Pablo Maia gets a card.
  • 66' Marcos Antonio makes way for Rodrigo Huendra at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 70' Brilliant from the ! Vitor Roque makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 70.
  • 74' Against the run of play, Jose Manuel Lopez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Vitor Roque. He receives a card.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Gonzalo Tapia is replaced by Lucas Moura on 82 minute.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' Ramon Sosa puts SE Palmeiras on the lead.
  • 90' Anibal Moreno was booked on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jose Manuel Lopez 3
Breno Lopes 3
Luciano 3
Gustavo Gomez 2
Gabriel Sara 2
Vitor Roque 2
Gabriel Menino 2
Dudu 2

Head to Head

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-08-18 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-01 SE Palmeiras 3–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-09-28 EC Bahia 1–0 SE Palmeiras L 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-09-13 SE Palmeiras 4–1 SC Internacional W 2025-08-31 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–1 SE Palmeiras D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.93 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC23% Draw27% SE Palmeiras50%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
50%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
77%
Sao Paulo FC or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC16% Draw47% SE Palmeiras37%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
10%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.