Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 2
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 22' Emiliano Rigoni
Gaston Avila 45' Y
Lucas Gazal 58' Y
Tomas Pochettino 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 11' What a strike from Gonzalo Tapia! The score is 0-1.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 22' Emiliano Rigoni is having his name booked by the referee on 22.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Gaston Avila has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cedric, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Deyverson made 386 appearances and scored 57 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Gaston Avila is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Enzo Diaz. He replaces Rodrigo Huendra on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Gazal.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Lucas Crispim is replaced by Adam Bareiro.
  • 62' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 62 minute. Yago Pikachu leaves to be changed by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Mailton dos Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric on 68 minute.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Deyverson is replaced by Marinho.
  • 77' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luciano is hanging Gonzalo Tapia on the field on 77 minute.
  • 79' The whistle greets Wendell as he departs to be replaced by Alisson.
  • 84' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 85' GOAL! Luciano scores on 85. Assisted by Enzo Diaz
  • 87' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Tomas Pochettino gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fortaleza EC.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Renato Kayzer 1
Vitor Bueno 1
Gonzalo Tapia 1

Head to Head

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife W 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2025-08-31 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw32% Sao Paulo FC31%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
63%
Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC24% Draw55% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.