Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 2
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Thu 2 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 22' Emiliano Rigoni
Gaston Avila 45' Y
Lucas Gazal 58' Y
Tomas Pochettino 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

5
4
5
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 1.8 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
31 Aug SC Internacional A 1–2 L
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' Luiz Gustavo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 11' What composure from Gonzalo Tapia! The Chile international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 21' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 22' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Emiliano Rigoni gets a card.
  • 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Deyverson, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 32' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 37.
  • 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marinho made 327 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Gaston Avila. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Rodrigo Huendra is replaced by Enzo Diaz.
  • 51' Brazil international Brenno Costa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
  • 58' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Lucas Gazal gets a card.
  • 61' Adam Bareiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Crispim on 61 minute.
  • 62' Fortaleza EC make a change. Yago Pikachu trudges off to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Cedric is replaced by Mailton dos Santos on 68 minute.
  • 73' Marinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Deyverson at the 73 minute mark.
  • 77' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Gonzalo Tapia is withdrawn and Luciano gets his opportunity.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Wendell as he leaves the pitch. Alisson steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 84' Lucas Crispim has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' Assisted by Enzo Diaz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luciano makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 87' Tomas Pochettino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • The points are shared — Fortaleza EC 0-2 Sao Paulo FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 3
Robson 3
Wellington Paulista 2
Juan Lucero 2
David 2
Igor Gomes 1
Juninho Capixaba 1
James Rodriguez 1

Head to Head

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-07-28 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC 2024-04-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife W 2025-09-21 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-09-13 Fortaleza EC 2–0 EC Vitoria W 2025-08-31 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC L

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC37% Draw32% Sao Paulo FC31%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
63%
Fortaleza EC or Sao Paulo FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC24% Draw55% Sao Paulo FC21%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
11.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 21% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 19% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.