Friday , 16 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Sao Paulo FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Wed 17 Jul 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 53,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Moura 10' 1–0
Y 23' Joao Pedro Pepe
Y 31' Mathias Villasanti
Igor Vinicius 38' Y
Lucas Moura 41' Y
Rafael Monteiro 78' Y
Y 80' Nathan
Welington 90' Y
Igor Vinicius 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
10 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
07 Jul EC Juventude A 0–3 L
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
39 Points 31
30 Played 30
11 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
35 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+0 GD -8
1.30 PPG 1.03
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, Gremio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Moura on 10.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Pedro Pepe on 23.
  • 28' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nata is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 31' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Mathias Villasanti gets a card.
  • 36' Nathan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Igor Vinicius on 38 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 41' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Joao Pedro Pepe exits the field as Felipe Carballo enters on 46.
  • 47' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathan is hanging Everton on the field on 47 minute.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Alisson trudges off to be replaced by Wellington Rato on 55 minutes.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Rodrigo Nestor. He replaces Lucas Moura on 64 minute.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Andre Silva on, Jonathan Calleri off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Cristian Pavon as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Ribeiro steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 75' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Dodi by Gustavo Gomes on 75 minute.
  • 78' Rafael Monteiro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Nathan.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' Ronald is replacing Nata for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Welington on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Tche Tche 1
Pablo Maia 1

Head to Head

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-07-10 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2024-07-07 EC Juventude 3–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2024-06-30 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-06-26 AC Goianiense 1–1 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC56% Draw27% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC36% Draw50% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.