Sao Paulo FC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Morumbi. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
- 30' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 31' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Rafael Toloi is replaced by Jose Sabino on 31 minute.
- 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
- 37' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 37.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 46' The whistle greets Paulo Baya as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Henrique.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 52' Ceara SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
- 56' What a strike from Pedro Henrique! The score is 0-1.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bruno made 238 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucca Marques is hanging Ferreira on the field on 63 minute.
- 68' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 70' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Cedric is replaced by Juan Dinenno on 70 minute.
- 72' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Dieguinho is replaced by Vinicius Zanocelo on 72 minute.
- 77' Vina needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 82' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 85' Guilherme Luiz is replacing Antonio Galeano for the Ceara SC side.
- 87' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 87.
- 90' Juan Dinenno is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Pedro Raul by Vina on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Ceará SC players.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 13
- 11
- 23
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 7
- 16
- 18
- 77
- 35
- 22
- 29
- 50
- 43
- 19
- 14
- 45
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
97
Lourenco ↓ Fernando Sobral 72'
- 94
-
9
Pedro Raul ↓ Vina 90'
- 79
- 70
-
17
Paulo Baya ↓ Pedro Henrique 46'
- 44
-
20
Dieguinho ↓ Vinicius Zanocelo 72'
- 27
- 23
Bench
- 3
- 33
- 1
- 30
- 2
- 10
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↑ 46'
-
88
Fernando Sobral ↑ 72'
-
25
Vinicius Zanocelo ↑ 72'
- 75
-
29
Vina ↑ 90'
-
80
Guilherme Luiz ↑ 85'
Coach
Leo Condé
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 3 |
| Leo Chu | 2 |
| Pedro Henrique | 2 |
| Gabriel Dias | 2 |
| Fabinho | 2 |
| Felipe Silva | 1 |
| Cleber | 1 |
| Vitor | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Ceará SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Ceará SC
63%
Sao Paulo FC or Ceará SC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.