Friday , 16 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
39 Points 31
30 Played 30
11 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
35 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+0 GD -8
1.30 PPG 1.03
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Michel Araujo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 15' Joao Pedro Pepe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dorival Júnior might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' Assisted by James Rodriguez with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michel Araujo makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 21' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Walter Kannemann.
  • 24' Walter Kannemann has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 24.
  • 28' Nathan Ribeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Cristaldo at the 28 minute mark.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 43' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a Yellow card on 43.
  • 48' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 53' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 58' São Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
  • 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 64' Gremio FBPA make a change. Walter Kannemann trudges off to be replaced by Everton on 64 minutes.
  • 68' What an equalizer from Pablo Maia!
  • 70' That is a Yellow card for Gremio FBPA. Josue Souza will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' Sao Paulo FC make a change. David trudges off to be replaced by Luciano on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Rodrigo Nestor is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Rodriguez at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Wellington Rato on, Alisson off on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Nathan Ribeiro makes way for Lucas Besozzi at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 87' Nathan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Moura at the 87 minute mark.
  • 89' Luis Suarez is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC54% Draw25% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
46%
Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw45% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.