Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #15
30 Points 28
24 Played 24
8 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
29 Scored 27
28 Conceded 32
+1 GD -5
1.25 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 11th (30 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 7 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sao Paulo FC is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The 26-year-old Gabriel Chapeco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 373 games and scored 407 goals.
  • 20' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 21' A stunning finish from Michel Araujo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' Poor challenge from Walter Kannemann. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 24' Walter Kannemann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 24.
  • 28' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPANathan Ribeiro on, Franco Cristaldo off on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' Walter Kannemann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' Sao Paulo FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 48' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact .
  • 53' The travelling Gremio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton is hanging Walter Kannemann on the field on 64 minute.
  • 68' GOAL! Pablo Maia fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 70' Gremio FBPA receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FCLuciano on, David off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Rodrigo Nestor is replacing James Rodriguez for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 77' Josue Souza needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FCWellington Rato on, Alisson off on 80 minutes.
  • 83' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Nathan Ribeiro exits the field as Lucas Besozzi enters on 83.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Moura is replaced by Nathan on 87 minute.
  • 89' Luis Suarez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Sao Paulo FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC54% Draw24% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
46%
Sao Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC38% Draw44% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.