Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Gremio FBPA
2 – 1
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 39,197 HT 45' · FT 45'
Franco Cristaldo 36' 1–0
Ruan og 45+1' 2–0
2–1 64' Luiz Gustavo
Y 72' Wellington Rato
Cristian Pavon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

8
4
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
09 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
02 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
27 Oct Criciúma EC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#18 Position #10
31 Points 39
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 13
32 Scored 35
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +0
1.03 PPG 1.30
23% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 10th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Gremio FBPA have kicked off against Sao Paulo FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Lucas Moura, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 25' Rafinha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 30' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marcos Antonio scoring 1 goals.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Gremio FBPA in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 36' Franco Cristaldo puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
  • 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ruan makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 337 games and scored 394 goals.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Igor Vinicius is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Patryck comes on to replace Rafinha.
  • 63' The whistle greets Ferreira as he departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
  • 64' Sensational shot from Luiz Gustavo. Sao Paulo FC is back in the lead.
  • 65' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Franco Cristaldo has done his job and it is now time for Miguel Monsalve to step up.
  • 70' Gremio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 72' Wellington Rato picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 75' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Alisson departs to be replaced by Damian Bobadilla.
  • 76' William da Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Silva at the 76 minute mark.
  • 81' Brazil international Jemerson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 86' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 88' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Joao Pedro exits the field as Igor enters on 88.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Yeferson Soteldo is replaced by Cristian Pavon.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Cristian Pavon.
  • It finishes all square. Gremio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Diogo Barbosa 1
Wallace 1

Head to Head

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–2 EC Juventude D 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2024-10-26 Gremio FBPA 3–1 AC Goianiense W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2024-11-20 RB Bragantino 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2024-11-10 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CA Paranaense W 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-10-27 Criciúma EC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA42% Draw28% Sao Paulo FC30%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
70%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
58%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA28% Draw48% Sao Paulo FC24%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.