Thursday , 1 October 2026

Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 9 May 2026 · 21:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
John Kennedy 36' 1–0
1–1 63' Renato Kayzer pen
1–2 67' Carlos Rene
Kevin Serna 90' 2–2
Alisson 60' Y
Y 73' Ramon
Rene 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs EC Vitória — Serie A at Maracana.

Match Details

  • Referee Braulio da Silva Machado
  • Assistant 1 Thiaggo Americano Labes (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Alex dos Santos

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
03 May SC Internacional A 0–2 L
26 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–1 W
19 Apr Santos FC A 3–2 W
12 Apr CR Flamengo H 1–2 L
04 Apr Coritiba FBC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
02 May Coritiba FBC H 4–1 W
26 Apr CA Paranaense A 1–3 L
18 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
11 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC EC Vitoria
#4 Position #13
48 Points 33
28 Played 28
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 13
44 Scored 28
36 Conceded 42
+8 GD -14
1.71 PPG 1.18
46% Win % 32%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: EC Vitória gets underway.
  • 5' Fluminense FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fluminense FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Vitória winning 0% of all matches.
  • 20' EC Vitória looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Renato Kayzer scoring 1 goals.
  • 25' EC Vitória are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' What a strike from John Kennedy! The score is 1-0.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Leandro Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at Maracana with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 48' Renato Kayzer was booked on 48.
  • 53' Julian Millan, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 60' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 63' GOAL! Renato Kayzer fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 67' What a moment for Carlos Rene! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Ramon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Samuel Xavier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Fluminense FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Vitória's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Serna makes it 2-2.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Riquelme Felipe on 90 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 EC Vitória xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC48% Draw26% EC Vitória26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Vitória
52%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitória
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC37% Draw43% EC Vitória20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push EC Vitória covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.