EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitória vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitória 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–8 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Aug | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | EC Bahia | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 28 | Scored | 44 |
| 42 | Conceded | 36 |
| -14 | GD | +8 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 32% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. EC Vitoria host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
- 1' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dudu on 1.
- 6' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 16' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Serna on 20.
- 25' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Dudu gets a card.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' Osvaldo makes way for Ronald at the 32 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
- 35' Joaquin Lavega gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Lima and will look to change the dynamic.
- 36' Ruben Lezcano is replacing Kevin Serna for the Fluminense FC side.
- 37' Hercules adds to his 3 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 42' The 39-year-old Osvaldo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' Igor Rabello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Ruben Lezcano is replaced by Manoel.
- 51' With 1 assists to his name this season, Matheuzinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
- 56' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dudu made 266 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Romarinho to step up.
- 64' Controversy at the stadium! Joao Pedro Pepe argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' Ramon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 70' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Facundo Bernal to step up.
- 73' Fluminense FC make a change. Guga trudges off to be replaced by Julio Cesar on 73 minutes.
- 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 83' Facundo Bernal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
- 88' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' Renzo Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fabricio at the 90 minute mark.
- Full Time. Fluminense FC beats EC Vitoria
Lineups
EC Vitória Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 10
Bench
- 17
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 3
- 31
- 29
- 8
- 12
- 2
- 66
- 7
Coach
Marcio Goiano
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 21
-
23
Guga ↓ Julio Cesar 73'
- 94
- 4
- 14
-
45
Lima ↓ Joaquin Lavega 35'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 70'
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Ruben Lezcano 36'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 11
- 99
- 30
-
18
Ruben Lezcano ↑ 36'
-
46
Julio Cesar ↑ 73'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 70'
- 36
- 28
-
19
Joaquin Lavega ↑ 35'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alerrandro | 1 |
| Neris | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Carlos Rene | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| John Kennedy | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Kevin Serna | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitória Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitória or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Vitória or Draw
61%
Draw or Fluminense FC
69%
EC Vitória or Fluminense FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitória
| Handicap | EC Vitória covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

