Thursday , 1 October 2026

EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Dudu 1' Y
Y 20' Kevin Serna
Dudu 25' YR
Y 44' Igor Rabello
YR 45' Igor Rabello

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitória vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Fluminense FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep Fortaleza EC A 0–2 L
31 Aug CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–8 L
16 Aug EC Juventude H 2–2 D
09 Aug Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 2–4 L
16 Aug Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
10 Aug EC Bahia A 3–3 D

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Fluminense FC
#13 Position #4
33 Points 48
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
28 Scored 44
42 Conceded 36
-14 GD +8
1.18 PPG 1.71
32% Win % 46%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. EC Vitoria host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
  • 1' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dudu on 1.
  • 6' The travelling Fluminense FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 11' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Vitoria and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 16' EC Vitoria are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kevin Serna on 20.
  • 25' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Dudu gets a card.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' Osvaldo makes way for Ronald at the 32 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Vitoria.
  • 35' Joaquin Lavega gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Lima and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 36' Ruben Lezcano is replacing Kevin Serna for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 37' Hercules adds to his 3 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' The 39-year-old Osvaldo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' Fluminense FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 45' Igor Rabello has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Ruben Lezcano is replaced by Manoel.
  • 51' With 1 assists to his name this season, Matheuzinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 56' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dudu made 266 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Erick has done his job and it is now time for Romarinho to step up.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Joao Pedro Pepe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 69' Ramon has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 70' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Facundo Bernal to step up.
  • 73' Fluminense FC make a change. Guga trudges off to be replaced by Julio Cesar on 73 minutes.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 83' Facundo Bernal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Vitoria so far.
  • 88' EC Vitoria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' Renzo Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fabricio at the 90 minute mark.
  • Full Time. Fluminense FC beats EC Vitoria

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitória or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitória31% Draw30% Fluminense FC39%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

EC Vitória or Draw
61%
Draw or Fluminense FC
69%
EC Vitória or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitória21% Draw50% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitória

Handicap EC Vitória covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.