Thursday , 1 October 2026

EC Vitoria vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 19:30 UTC Barradao 29,186 HT 45' · FT 45'
Neris 45+4' 1–0
1–1 61' Lucas Arcanjo og
Alerrandro pen 90+1' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitória vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
19 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
05 Oct CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
29 Sep SC Internacional A 1–3 L
21 Sep EC Juventude H 1–0 W
14 Sep AC Goianiense A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct EC Vitoria A 1–2 L
22 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
17 Oct CR Flamengo A 2–0 W
04 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W
29 Sep AC Goianiense A 0–1 L
25 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria Fluminense FC
#13 Position #4
33 Points 48
28 Played 28
9 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
28 Scored 44
42 Conceded 36
-14 GD +8
1.18 PPG 1.71
32% Win % 46%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Barradao!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Keno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 26' Thiago Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 36' Gustavo Mosquito is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
  • 41' EC Vitoria is showing some good football. However, EC Vitoria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Victor Hugo departs to be replaced by Keno.
  • 49' EC Vitoria is taking the lead after the goal scored by Neris on 45.
  • 54' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker John Kennedy scoring 1 goals.
  • 59' Fluminense FC have won 426 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lucas Arcanjo makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 62' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Ricardo Ryller has done his job and it is now time for Machado to step up.
  • 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Xavier made 238 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 74' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Raul Caceres will be fuming at that decision.
  • 74' Ganso makes way for Marcelo at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 76' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Jose Hugo comes on to replace Gustavo Mosquito.
  • 81' Fluminense FC make a change. Thiago Santos trudges off to be replaced by Ignacio on 81 minutes.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leo Naldi on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Alerrandro is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 EC Vitória xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitória or Fluminense FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitória40% Draw28% Fluminense FC32%
Actual: EC Vitória win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Vitória or Draw
68%
Draw or Fluminense FC
60%
EC Vitória or Fluminense FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitória24% Draw49% Fluminense FC27%
Actual: EC Vitória win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitória

Handicap EC Vitória covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.