Fluminense FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs EC Vitória — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitória 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | EC Vitoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | Fluminense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Apr | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | CR Flamengo | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CR Flamengo | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #13 |
| 48 | Points | 33 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 13 / 9 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 28 |
| 36 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | -14 |
| 1.71 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 46% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fluminense FC get us underway at Maracana.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Osvaldo suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rene made 390 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thiago Carpini might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitoria that had 179 games and scored 131 goals.
- 35' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Magnificent from German Cano! That is 79 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 44' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 46' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Ricardo Ryller is replaced by Ronald.
- 51' EC Vitoria come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Ronald needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fluminense FC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' Time for substitution for EC Vitoria. Gustavo Mosquito is replaced by Fabricio.
- 63' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Agustin Canobbio is replaced by Kevin Serna on 63 minute.
- 68' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 71' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Osvaldo.
- 76' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 78' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
- 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Claudinho.
- 83' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Janderson Costa is replaced by Lucas Braga on 83 minute.
- 85' Everaldo is ready to make an impact after coming on for German Cano at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' Lucas Braga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fluminense FC 1-1 EC Vitoria.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 10
- 4
- 22
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 85'
- 21
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 78'
-
8
Martinelli ↓ Thiago Santos 85'
-
17
Agustin Canobbio ↓ Kevin Serna 63'
Bench
- 26
- 98
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 85'
-
16
Nonato ↑ 78'
- 11
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 85'
- 77
- 18
-
90
Kevin Serna ↑ 63'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 78'
- 19
- 66
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Vitória Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
-
28
Ricardo Ryller ↓ Ronald 46'
- 83
- 5
- 3
-
7
Gustavo Mosquito ↓ Fabricio 62'
- 44
- 1
-
39
Janderson Costa ↓ Lucas Braga 83'
- 30
- 2
Bench
- 17
- 77
-
23
Fabricio ↑ 62'
- 27
- 43
-
11
Osvaldo ↑ 71'
- 38
- 35
-
8
Ronald ↑ 46'
-
22
Lucas Braga ↑ 83'
- 16
- 96
Coach
Thiago Carpini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Lucas Braga | 1 |
| Neilton | 1 |
| German Cano | 1 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Hercules | 1 |
| Pablo Dyego | 1 |
| Janderson Costa | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
EC Vitória xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitória
50%
Fluminense FC or EC Vitória
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | EC Vitória covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

