Saturday , 14 November 2026

CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 21:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs EC Vitória — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
13 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
29 Mar Botafogo FR H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr CA Paranaense A 1–3 L
18 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
11 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
01 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense EC Vitoria
#5 Position #16
54 Points 38
34 Played 34
15 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 16
51 Scored 35
43 Conceded 51
+8 GD -16
1.59 PPG 1.12
44% Win % 29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 21 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 6 G 1 A
Leozinho 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. CA Paranaense host EC Vitória — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Paranaense must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 8' The referee has no hesitation. Luiz Gustavo is booked for CA Paranaense — card on 8.
  • 12' That is a card for EC Vitoria. Edenilson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 17' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 22' Carlos Rene is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 8 goals this season for the .
  • 27' Over 27 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Vitória that had 185 games and scored 143 goals.
  • 34' Goal! Kevin Viveros scores his 15 goal in 6 matches.
  • 39' EC Vitória are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 43' Leandro Martinez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 46' Ronald is replacing Edenilson for the EC Vitoria side.
  • 51' Brazil international Joao Victor has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 55' The referee shows CA Paranaense player a card on 55.
  • 60' Matheuzinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 63' CA Paranaense ring the changes. Joao Victor has done his job and it is now time for Dudu to step up.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Arthur Dias. He receives a card.
  • 73' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 74' Fabricio gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Carlos Rene and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Bruno Zapelli gets the nod from CA Paranaense. He replaces Juan Portilla and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Chiqueti comes on to replace Bruno Ramos.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 87' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 87.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Santos on 90 minutes earns him a card. CA Paranaense will be frustrated.
  • 90' CA Paranaense make a change. Stiven Mendoza trudges off to be replaced by Renan Peixoto on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for EC Vitória.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 EC Vitória xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense65% Draw21% EC Vitória14%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
85%
Draw or EC Vitória
35%
CA Paranaense or EC Vitória
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense49% Draw40% EC Vitória11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push EC Vitória covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 23% 32%
-0.5 68% — 32%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
EC Vitória keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.