FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Florian Heft
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Nov | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Millerntor-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern Munchen.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern Munchen that had 546 games and scored 1079 goals.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 22' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 27' Raphael Guerreiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
- 32' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1079 goals from 546 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Johannes Eggestein suffering a number of foals already.
- 47' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 52' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 57' The 25-year-old Alphonso Davies has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morgan Guilavogui on 64.
- 66' Min-Jae Kim picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 67' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 67.
- 70' Raphael Guerreiro makes way for Konrad Laimer at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 74' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Oladapo Afolayan trudges off to be replaced by Robert Wagner on 74 minutes.
- 79' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Manuel Neuer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 80' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Johannes Eggestein is replaced by Andreas Albers.
- 82' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Leon Goretzka departs to be replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 87' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 89' Eric Smith makes way for Adam Dzwigala at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
- 90' Konrad Laimer was booked on 90.
- 90' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Jamal Musiala.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Bayern Munchen take all three points.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 21
-
8
Eric Smith ↓ Adam Dzwigala 89'
- 17
- 22
- 29
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Danel Sinani 89'
- 2
Bench
- 32
-
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 89'
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 89'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 80'
- 4
-
39
Robert Wagner ↑ 74'
- 14
- 20
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Michael Olise 82'
- 9
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Serge Gnabry 70'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Joao Palhinha 82'
- 22
- 2
- 19
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 90'
- 3
Bench
- 15
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↑ 70'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 90'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 70'
-
16
Joao Palhinha ↑ 82'
- 18
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 82'
- 39
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leroy Sane | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 1 |
| Harry Kane | 1 |
| Lars Ritzka | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern Munchen
L
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-10-29
RB Leipzig
4–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
VfL Wolfsburg
D
2024-10-18
Borussia Dortmund
2–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-10-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2024-11-09
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–1
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2024-11-06
FC Bayern Munchen
1–0
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
W
2024-11-02
FC Bayern Munchen
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2024-10-27
VfL Bochum 1848
0–5
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2024-10-23
FC Barcelona
4–1
FC Bayern Munchen
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern Munchen
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
1.5%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 14% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

