Wednesday , 7 October 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Jamal Musiala

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Head-to-Head

4
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Bayern Munchen H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
06 Nov Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–0 W
02 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Millerntor-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern Munchen that had 546 games and scored 1079 goals.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 22' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 27' Raphael Guerreiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
  • 32' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1079 goals from 546 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Johannes Eggestein suffering a number of foals already.
  • 47' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern Munchen's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 52' FC St. Pauli 1910 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 57' The 25-year-old Alphonso Davies has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morgan Guilavogui on 64.
  • 66' Min-Jae Kim picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' The referee shows FC St. Pauli 1910 player a card on 67.
  • 70' Raphael Guerreiro makes way for Konrad Laimer at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 74' FC St. Pauli 1910 make a change. Oladapo Afolayan trudges off to be replaced by Robert Wagner on 74 minutes.
  • 79' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Manuel Neuer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 80' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Johannes Eggestein is replaced by Andreas Albers.
  • 82' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Leon Goretzka departs to be replaced by Joao Palhinha.
  • 87' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 89' Eric Smith makes way for Adam Dzwigala at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC St. Pauli 1910.
  • 90' Konrad Laimer was booked on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Thomas Muller comes on to replace Jamal Musiala.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Bayern Munchen take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191023% Draw30% FC Bayern Munchen47%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
53%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
77%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or FC Bayern Munchen
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191015% Draw53% FC Bayern Munchen32%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
1.5%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 14% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 25% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.