Friday , 9 October 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct FC Bayern Munchen H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 4–0 W
06 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A
FC Bayern Munchen
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and 1. FSV Mainz 05 launch into their encounter with FC Bayern München.
  • 2' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-1.
  • 7' Japan international Kaishu Sano has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Dominik Kohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' Paul Nebel has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 37' Goal! Jamal Musiala scores his 75 goal in 546 matches.
  • 42' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Konrad Laimer. He receives a card.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Moritz Jenz.
  • 46' Assisted by Alphonso Davies with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leroy Sane makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 46' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 46 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Thomas Muller.
  • 47' The whistle greets Moritz Jenz as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Bell.
  • 49' Jamal Musiala doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Daniel Gleiber gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Nadiem Amiri and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 58' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Leon Goretzka comes on to replace Alphonso Davies.
  • 62' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Armindo Sieb is withdrawn and Nelson Weiper gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Paul Nebel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact .
  • 74' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Raphael Guerreiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arijon Ibrahimovic is hanging Eric Dier on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 87' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw23% FC Bayern Munchen56%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw40% FC Bayern Munchen44%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.