Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
2
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 2–4 L
05 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–1 W
28 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
22 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–4 L
14 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FC St. Pauli 1910 welcome VfL Wolfsburg for this crunch clash at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Millerntor-Stadion. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Manolis Saliakas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and VfL Wolfsburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Nikola Vasilj has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' FC St. Pauli 1910 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC St. Pauli 1910 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 65' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 66' Time for substitution for FC St. Pauli 1910. Danel Sinani is replaced by Oladapo Afolayan.
  • 67' VfL Wolfsburg ring the changes. Kilian Fischer has done his job and it is now time for Jakub Kaminski to step up.
  • 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ralph Hasenhuttl might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Jakub Kaminski argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' The whistle greets Jonas Wind as he departs to be replaced by Lovro Majer.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joakim Maehle on 82.
  • 82' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Scott Banks is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Robert Wagner on, Carlo Boukhalfa off on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Kevin Behrens is replacing Mohammed Amoura for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 90' Lovro Majer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw33% VfL Wolfsburg33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191020% Draw57% VfL Wolfsburg23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2.2%
1 – 3
2%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 19% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 22% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.