Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Head-to-Head

1
2
2
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
20 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 2–4 L
05 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 3–1 W
28 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
22 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 3–4 L
14 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: VfL Wolfsburg gets underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising VfL Wolfsburg does not make any changes. Manolis Saliakas has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 475 games and scored 488 goals.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Ralph Hasenhuttl might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mohammed Amoura suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC St. Pauli 1910 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danel Sinani made 40 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' VfL Wolfsburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' Johannes Eggestein is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC St. Pauli 1910 so far.
  • 65' Nikola Vasilj has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 20 appearances.
  • 66' Fresh legs for FC St. Pauli 1910! Oladapo Afolayan comes on to replace Danel Sinani.
  • 67' A change in the VfL Wolfsburg ranks — Kilian Fischer exits the field as Jakub Kaminski enters on 67.
  • 72' VfL Wolfsburg have won 488 goals from 475 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 76' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Jonas Wind is withdrawn and Lovro Majer gets his opportunity.
  • 82' VfL Wolfsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 82' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Johannes Eggestein departs to be replaced by Scott Banks.
  • 87' Robert Wagner gets the nod from FC St. Pauli 1910. He replaces Carlo Boukhalfa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Mohammed Amoura trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Behrens on 89 minutes.
  • 90' That is a card for VfL Wolfsburg. Lovro Majer will be fuming at that decision.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.85 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw33% VfL Wolfsburg33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
67%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or VfL Wolfsburg
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191020% Draw57% VfL Wolfsburg23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2.2%
1 – 3
2%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 19% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 22% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.