Sunday , 15 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Tue 29 Oct 2024 · 17:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
16 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 15.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
23 Oct Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting FC St. Pauli 1910 for another epic battle.
  • 5' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 12' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yussuf Poulsen on 12.
  • 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 18' Goal! Christoph Baumgartner scores his 52 goal in 422 matches.
  • 23' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC St. Pauli 1910 backline.
  • 28' What a strike from Morgan Guilavogui! The score is 2-1.
  • 30' What a strike from Yussuf Poulsen! The score is 3-1.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' Kevin Kampl has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 59' GOAL! Eric Smith fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' Castello Lukeba has so much to prove this time. He replaces El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 69 minute.
  • 74' Lutsharel Geertruida, a Netherlands defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 76 minute. Andre Silva leaves to be changed by Eljif Elmas.
  • 80' Antonio Nusa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
  • 80' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Oladapo Afolayan is withdrawn and Danel Sinani gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Robert Wagner departs to be replaced by Carlo Boukhalfa.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 87' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Albers is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Morgan Guilavogui departs to be replaced by Erik Ahlstrand.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig52% Draw24% FC St. Pauli 191024%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
76%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
48%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig36% Draw43% FC St. Pauli 191021%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.