Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Tue 29 Oct 2024 · 17:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
35 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

3
2
RB Leipzig 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
23 Oct Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
26 Oct VfL Wolfsburg H 0–0 D
18 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig52% Draw24% FC St. Pauli 191024%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
76%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
48%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig36% Draw43% FC St. Pauli 191021%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.