RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
16 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 15.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | Liverpool FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Oct | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | SC Freiburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
0%
Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christoph Baumgartner | 2 G |
| Willi Orban | 1 G |
| Brajan Gruda | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting FC St. Pauli 1910 for another epic battle.
- 5' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 12' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yussuf Poulsen on 12.
- 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' Goal! Christoph Baumgartner scores his 52 goal in 422 matches.
- 23' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC St. Pauli 1910 backline.
- 28' What a strike from Morgan Guilavogui! The score is 2-1.
- 30' What a strike from Yussuf Poulsen! The score is 3-1.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' FC St. Pauli 1910 receives a card for a hard tackle on 40.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 50' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Kevin Kampl has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 59' GOAL! Eric Smith fires home to make it 3-2!
- 64' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' Castello Lukeba has so much to prove this time. He replaces El Chadaille Bitshiabu on 69 minute.
- 74' Lutsharel Geertruida, a Netherlands defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 76' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 76 minute. Andre Silva leaves to be changed by Eljif Elmas.
- 80' Antonio Nusa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 80' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Oladapo Afolayan is withdrawn and Danel Sinani gets his opportunity.
- 81' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Robert Wagner departs to be replaced by Carlo Boukhalfa.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 87' FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andreas Albers is hanging Johannes Eggestein on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Morgan Guilavogui departs to be replaced by Erik Ahlstrand.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 39
- 14
- 9
- 16
- 4
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↓ Viggo Gebel 90'
-
19
Andre Silva ↓ Eljif Elmas 76'
- 26
- 5
- 18
Bench
-
6
Eljif Elmas ↑ 76'
- 1
- 25
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 69'
-
23
Castello Lukeba ↑ 69'
- 30
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↑ 69'
-
47
Viggo Gebel ↑ 90'
Coach
Marco Rose
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Danel Sinani 80'
- 22
- 29
-
39
Robert Wagner ↓ Carlo Boukhalfa 81'
-
2
Manolis Saliakas ↓ Lars Ritzka 87'
- 23
Bench
- 32
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 87'
- 25
-
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 80'
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 87'
-
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↑ 81'
- 4
-
20
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Alexander Blessin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 |
| Eric Smith | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
| Xavi Simons | 1 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
76%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
48%
RB Leipzig or FC St. Pauli 1910
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

