FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

FC St. Pauli 1910

0 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 5' Jonathan Burkardt

0–2 16' Armindo Sieb

0–3 62' Jonathan Burkardt

Y 20' Armindo Sieb

Y 79' Moritz Jenz

Y 88' Dominik Kohr

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

FC St. Pauli 1910 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Christian Dingert
Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
Assistant 2 Alexander Sather

5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–3	L
28 Sep	SC Freiburg	A	3–0	W
22 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–0	D
15 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	1–3	L
30 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–1	L
25 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	0–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	3–0	W
28 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	3–2	W
15 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–2	L
31 Aug	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–3	D
24 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Millerntor-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Jonathan Burkardt doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
16' Goal! Armindo Sieb scores his 16 goal in 554 matches.
20' Armindo Sieb picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
30' Karol Mets has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
50' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Maxim Leitsch has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
55' Philipp Mwene has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
62' Assisted by Nadiem Amiri with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Burkardt makes no mistake. 0-3!
63' The FC St. Pauli 1910 bench stirs into life. Robert Wagner is withdrawn and Morgan Guilavogui gets his opportunity.
65' Paul Nebel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Armindo Sieb at the 65 minute mark.
70' FC St. Pauli 1910 currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nelson Weiper suffering a number of foals already.
79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
83' Nadiem Amiri makes way for Hyun-seok Hong at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
88' Poor challenge from Dominik Kohr. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' The crowd applauds Jonathan Burkardt as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

11
Johannes Eggestein ↓ Scott Banks 83'
5
Hauke Finn Wahl
3
Karol Mets
7
Jackson Irvine
8
Eric Smith
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Danel Sinani 63'
22
Nikola Vasilj
39
Robert Wagner ↓ Morgan Guilavogui 63'
2
Manolis Saliakas
26
Elias Saad ↓ Andreas Albers 90'
23
Philipp Treu ↓ Lars Ritzka 83'

Bench

21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 83'
25
Adam Dzwigala
15
Danel Sinani ↑ 63'
1
Ben Alexander Voll
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 90'
18
Scott Banks ↑ 83'
29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 63'
4
David Nemeth
14
Fin Stevens

Coach Alexander Blessin

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Nelson Weiper 90'
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 83'
5
Maxim Leitsch
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Paul Nebel 65'
3
Moritz Jenz
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Burkardt	2
Paul Nebel	1
Jae-sung Lee	1
Abdoulie Ceesay	1
Philipp Mwene	1
Phillip Tietz	1
Armindo Sieb	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.87 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC St. Pauli 191021% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0553%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw

47%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC St. Pauli 191014% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

11.3%

1 – 1

11.2%

0 – 2

11.1%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 0

8.1%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

1 – 0

4.6%

2 – 1

4.3%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 4

3.3%

1 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	10%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	24%	36%
+1.5	64%	—	36%
+2	64%	19%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Clean Sheet