FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Christian Dingert
- Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
- Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | SC Freiburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC St. Pauli 1910 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 0 |
| 34 | Played | 0 |
| 6 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 29 | Scored | 0 |
| 60 | Conceded | 0 |
| -31 | GD | +0 |
| 0.76 | PPG | – |
| 18% | Win % | – |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
- 5' Jonathan Burkardt doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alexander Blessin will be considering his options from the bench.
- 16' Brilliant from the forward! Armindo Sieb makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 16.
- 20' The referee has no hesitation. Armindo Sieb is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 20.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Nikola Vasilj has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Eric Smith has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 299 appearances.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 50' It looks surprising FC St. Pauli 1910 does not make any changes. Hauke Finn Wahl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Robert Wagner made 493 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 62' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Burkardt makes it 0-3.
- 63' Morgan Guilavogui has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robert Wagner on 63 minute.
- 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Armindo Sieb trudges off to be replaced by Paul Nebel on 65 minutes.
- 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Moritz Jenz on 79 minutes.
- 83' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 83 minute. Nadiem Amiri leaves to be changed by Hyun-seok Hong.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 88.
- 90' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jonathan Burkardt by Nelson Weiper on 90 minute.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 11
- 5
- 3
- 7
- 8
-
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Danel Sinani 63'
- 22
- 39
- 2
-
26
Elias Saad ↓ Andreas Albers 90'
-
23
Philipp Treu ↓ Lars Ritzka 83'
Bench
-
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 83'
- 25
-
15
Danel Sinani ↑ 63'
- 1
-
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 90'
-
18
Scott Banks ↑ 83'
-
29
Morgan Guilavogui ↑ 63'
- 4
- 14
Coach
Alexander Blessin
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 83'
- 5
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Paul Nebel 65'
- 3
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 16
- 9
- 21
- 30
-
8
Paul Nebel ↑ 65'
- 1
- 17
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 90'
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 83'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Armindo Sieb | 1 |
| Paul Nebel | 1 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 1 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 1 |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 |
| Phillip Tietz | 1 |
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli 1910 Form
2024-10-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-09-28
SC Freiburg
0–3
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-09-22
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–0
RB Leipzig
D
2024-09-15
FC Augsburg
3–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-30
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2024-08-25
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.3
FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 79% + Under 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.67
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 3% |
|
97% |
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
45%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
85%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
25%
0 – 0
21.1%
0 – 2
16.8%
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 1
1.1%
1 – 4
1%
2 – 2
0.9%
Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910
| Handicap | FC St. Pauli 1910 covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| -0.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 20% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.