Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 16:30 UTC Millerntor-Stadion 29,546 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–2 16' Armindo Sieb
0–3 62' Jonathan Burkardt

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Assistant 1 Benedikt Kempkes
  • Assistant 2 Alexander Sather
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
3
FC St. Pauli 1910 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
22 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
15 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
25 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
15 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
24 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC St. Pauli 1910 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Jonathan Burkardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 5 minutes.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominik Kohr suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' FC St. Pauli 1910 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 16' GOAL! Armindo Sieb scores on 16. Assisted by Nadiem Amiri
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nikola Vasilj, as he is very good at scoring at Millerntor-Stadion with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 30' FC St. Pauli 1910 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. FC St. Pauli 1910 in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' It’s high time Alexander Blessin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 60' France international Anthony Caci has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' Jonathan Burkardt doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' The FC St. Pauli 1910 manager makes a substitution. Robert Wagner departs to be replaced by Morgan Guilavogui.
  • 65' Paul Nebel gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Armindo Sieb and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' The 27-year-old Hyun-seok Hong has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Hyun-seok Hong gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Nadiem Amiri and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Dominik Kohr is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 88.
  • 90' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Jonathan Burkardt is withdrawn and Nelson Weiper gets his opportunity.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from 1. FSV Mainz 05 to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191021% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0553%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
47%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191014% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 24% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 19% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
43% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.