FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

FC Bayern Munchen

8 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Harry Kane 13' 1–0

Leon Goretzka 19' 2–0

2–1 31' Nadiem Amiri

Harry Kane 45+7' 3–1

Thomas Muller 47' 4–1

Jamal Musiala 61' 5–1

Serge Gnabry 66' 6–1

Harry Kane 70' 7–1

Leon Goretzka 90+2' 8–1

Konrad Laimer 5' Y

Y 84' Silvan Widmer

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Patrick Ittrich
Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern Munchen 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern Munchen 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen 2023-02-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2022-10-29 FC Bayern Munchen 6–2 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	8–1	W
05 Mar	SS Lazio	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	SC Freiburg	A	2–2	D
24 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	VfL Bochum 1848	A	2–3	L
14 Feb	SS Lazio	A	0–1	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	FC Bayern Munchen	A	1–8	L
02 Mar	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	1–1	D
23 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–2	L
17 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	1–0	W
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#6
10	Points	7
4	Played	4
3 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
14	Scored	10
2	Conceded	6
+12	GD	+4
2.50	PPG	1.75
75%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Allianz Arena!
5' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
13' What a moment for Harry Kane! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
18' Raphael Guerreiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alphonso Davies at the 18 minute mark.
19' Against the run of play, Leon Goretzka has scored! This game has turned on its head.
24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Thomas Tuchel will be considering his options from the bench.
29' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
31' Brilliant from the ! Nadiem Amiri makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 31.
35' Edimilson Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josuha Guilavogui at the 35 minute mark.
40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Josuha Guilavogui is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
47' What an equalizer from Thomas Muller!
52' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 45.
57' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
61' GOAL! Jamal Musiala scores on 61. Assisted by Harry Kane
62' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Leroy Sane is replaced by Serge Gnabry on 62 minute.
65' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Marco Richter comes on to replace Jae-sung Lee.
66' Serge Gnabry has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 66 minutes.
70' Harry Kane makes no mistake. The score reads 7-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
75' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 75 minute. Eric Dier leaves to be changed by Min-Jae Kim.
76' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Tom Krauss is withdrawn and Danny da Costa gets his opportunity.
81' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
84' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 84.
89' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern Munchen players.

Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Thomas Tuchel

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↓ Edimilson Fernandes 35'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 65'
18
Nadiem Amiri
30
Silvan Widmer
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Danny da Costa 76'
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 76'
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Marco Richter 65'

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Harry Kane	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2024-03-09 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-03-05 FC Bayern Munchen 3–0 SS Lazio W 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 FC Bayern Munchen D 2024-02-24 FC Bayern Munchen 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2024-02-18 VfL Bochum 1848 3–2 FC Bayern Munchen L 2024-02-14 SS Lazio 1–0 FC Bayern Munchen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-03-09 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-03-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 FC Augsburg W 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

4.01 FC Bayern Munchen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern Munchen80% Draw12% 1. FSV Mainz 058%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 4.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	68%	32%
± 4.5	50%	50%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw

92%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

20%

FC Bayern Munchen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern Munchen71% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 055%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 8–1 not predicted

8 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

8.7%

4 – 0

8.5%

3 – 1

7.2%

4 – 1

7.1%

2 – 0

6.9%

5 – 0

6.7%

5 – 1

5.7%

2 – 1

5.6%

6 – 0

4.5%

6 – 1

3.9%

1 – 0

3.5%

1 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap	FC Bayern Munchen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	56%	—	44%
-2	56%	18%	26%
-1.5	74%	—	26%
-1	74%	13%	12%
-0.5	88%	—	12%
+0.5	96%	—	4%
+1	96%	3%	1%
+1.5	99%	—	1%
+2	99%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.