1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Union Berlin 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
15 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Jan | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | 1. FC Koln | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 44 | Scored | 44 |
| 53 | Conceded | 58 |
| -9 | GD | -14 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FC Union Berlin this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to MEWA Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Ludovic Ajorque has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 15.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Switzerland international Edimilson Fernandes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 40' Brenden Aaronson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' 1. FC Union Berlin fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Silvan Widmer is hanging Danny da Costa on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' 1. FC Union Berlin come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 53' Jonathan Burkardt puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 53' A moment of madness from Kevin Vogt on 53 minutes earns him a Yellow card. 1. FC Union Berlin will be frustrated.
- 58' A stunning finish from Robin Gosens — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 63' 1. FC Union Berlin manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yorbe Vertessen is hanging Benedict Hollerbach on the field on 63 minute.
- 64' Diogo Leite is replacing Kevin Vogt for the 1. FC Union Berlin side.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past 1. FC Union Berlin's compact 3-5-2.
- 70' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Dominik Kohr comes on to replace Nadiem Amiri.
- 75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 76' The whistle greets Andras Schafer as he departs to be replaced by Alex Kral.
- 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Diogo Leite on 79.
- 80' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Karim Onisiwo has done his job and it is now time for Jessic Ngankam to step up.
- 82' A change in the 1. FC Union Berlin ranks — Kevin Volland exits the field as Brenden Aaronson enters on 82.
- 84' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Janik Haberer.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Danilho Doekhi.
- 90' The whistle greets Ludovic Ajorque as he departs to be replaced by Brajan Gruda.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↓ Brajan Gruda 90'
- 19
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Jessic Ngankam 80'
- 8
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Dominik Kohr 70'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Silvan Widmer 46'
- 20
- 14
Bench
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↑ 70'
- 10
- 23
- 2
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 46'
-
11
Jessic Ngankam ↑ 80'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 90'
- 1
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↑ 90'
Coach
Jan Siewert
1. FC Union Berlin Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5
- 10
- 8
- 31
-
2
Kevin Vogt ↓ Diogo Leite 64'
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
13
Andras Schafer ↓ Alex Kral 76'
- 20
- 16
Bench
-
26
Jerome Roussillon ↑ 82'
- 37
- 3
-
4
Diogo Leite ↑ 64'
- 11
-
33
Alex Kral ↑ 76'
-
7
Brenden Aaronson ↑ 82'
- 9
-
14
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 63'
Coach
Nenad Bjelica
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Behrens | 4 |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 4 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Daniel Brosinski | 2 |
| Sebastian Andersson | 2 |
| Oliver Burke | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-02-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2024-02-03
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-01-26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2024-01-13
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
VfL Wolfsburg
D
2023-12-19
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-12-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
1. FC Union Berlin Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.21
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | 1. FC Union Berlin covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

