Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 23 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Granit Xhaka 3' 1–0

1–1 8' Dominik Kohr

Robert Andrich 68' 2–1

Y 42' Karim Onisiwo

Jeremie Frimpong 45' Y

Xabi Alonso 45' Y

Jonathan Tah 49' Y

Y 52' Dominik Kohr

Y 54' Robin Zentner

Y 66' Anthony Caci

Florian Wirtz 74' Y

R 80' Jessic Ngankam

Y 85' Philipp Mwene

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Timo Gerach
Assistant 1 Florian Heft
Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

15 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 5.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2022-02-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–1	W
10 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	3–0	W
06 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	3–2	W
03 Feb	SV Darmstadt 98	A	2–0	W
27 Jan	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	0–0	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–2	L
17 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	1–0	W
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–1	D
03 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#6	Position	#10
59	Points	40
34	Played	34
17 / 8 / 9	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
68	Scored	44
47	Conceded	53
+21	GD	-9
1.74	PPG	1.18
50%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score. At the same time, 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
3' Granit Xhaka puts Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the lead.
8' GOAL! Dominik Kohr scores on 8. Assisted by Silvan Widmer
13' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bayer 04 Leverkusen must find a spark to ignite this game.
18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
23' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
28' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
33' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is showing some good football. However, Bayer 04 Leverkusen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
38' Jonathan Tah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
42' Karim Onisiwo was booked on 42.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jeremie Frimpong on 45.
49' Jonathan Tah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 49.
52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dominik Kohr on 52 minutes.
54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robin Zentner on 54 minutes.
56' Jonas Hofmann makes way for Patrik Schick at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
60' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Silvan Widmer is withdrawn and Josuha Guilavogui gets his opportunity.
65' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 65 minute. Brajan Gruda leaves to be changed by Jessic Ngankam.
66' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anthony Caci on 66 minutes.
68' GOAL! Robert Andrich scores on 68. Assisted by Florian Wirtz
73' Bayer 04 Leverkusen has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
74' The referee has no hesitation. Florian Wirtz is booked for Bayer 04 Leverkusen — card on 74.
79' South Korea international Jae-sung Lee has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
80' Jessic Ngankam catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
83' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Amine Adli exits the field as Piero Hincapie enters on 83.
85' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Mwene is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 85.
90' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Florian Wirtz exits the field as Adam Hlozek enters on 90.
The points are shared — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-1 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

3
Sepp van den Berg
19
Anthony Caci
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Tom Krauss 83'
8
Leandro Barreiro Martins
18
Nadiem Amiri
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Josuha Guilavogui 60'
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Jessic Ngankam 65'
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2
Alejandro Grimaldo	2
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-02-17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-02-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 FC Bayern München W 2024-02-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-02-03 SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2024-01-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 Borussia Monchengladbach D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 FC Augsburg W 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D 2024-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-01-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen64% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

84%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

36%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen46% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

9.2%

1 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

7.1%

3 – 0

6.8%

2 – 2

0 – 0

1 – 2

4.4%

4 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	22%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.