Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 23 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Granit Xhaka 3' 1–0
1–1 8' Dominik Kohr
Robert Andrich 68' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
17 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–1 W
10 Feb FC Bayern München H 3–0 W
06 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 3–2 W
03 Feb SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
27 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
17 Feb FC Augsburg H 1–0 W
11 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
07 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
03 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#5 Position #6
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+5 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen60% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen43% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.