Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Florian Heft
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | H | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Feb | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 10 | Scored | 10 |
| 5 | Conceded | 6 |
| +5 | GD | +4 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at BayArena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Granit Xhaka makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 8' What a strike from Dominik Kohr! The score is 1-1.
- 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 18' Bayer 04 Leverkusen currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 543 games and scored 757 goals.
- 28' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 757 goals from 543 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Karim Onisiwo gets a card.
- 45' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 49' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
- 52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 54' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Robin Zentner gets a card.
- 56' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes a substitution. Jonas Hofmann departs to be replaced by Patrik Schick.
- 60' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Silvan Widmer exits the field as Josuha Guilavogui enters on 60.
- 65' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jessic Ngankam is hanging Brajan Gruda on the field on 65 minute.
- 66' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 66.
- 68' A goal from the Germany international Robert Andrich! He fires home on 68 to make it 2-1!
- 73' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 74' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Jessic Ngankam. He receives a card.
- 83' Amine Adli makes way for Piero Hincapie at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philipp Mwene on 85.
- 90' Adam Hlozek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Florian Wirtz on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Patrik Schick 56'
- 8
- 20
- 12
-
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ Nathan Tella 83'
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Piero Hincapie 83'
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Adam Hlozek 90'
- 6
Bench
- 9
-
14
Patrik Schick ↑ 56'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 90'
- 17
-
19
Nathan Tella ↑ 83'
-
3
Piero Hincapie ↑ 83'
- 2
- 18
- 32
Coach
Xabi Alonso
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Tom Krauss 83'
- 8
- 18
- 30
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Jessic Ngankam 65'
- 7
Bench
- 10
-
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↑ 60'
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 83'
-
11
Jessic Ngankam ↑ 65'
- 24
- 1
- 39
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2024-02-23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-02-17
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-02-10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–0
FC Bayern München
W
2024-02-06
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
VfB Stuttgart
W
2024-02-03
SV Darmstadt 98
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-01-27
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
40%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.7%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
4%
4 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

